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Weekly Review - January 30 to February 5

CRANBOURNE - 30 January 2023

OTHER

We liked the way BELVAGO moved in a Jan 23 where he finished 2nd, going to the line under an extremely strong hold. This was much the same in Heat 8 on Jan 30 as he sat midfield throughout and again went to the line under a strong hold, the jockey getting an absolute arm workout. The 3yo son of Bel Esprit ran 4th on debut at Pakenham where he was slowly away, settling last along the rail but coming home really strongly, clocking the meetings second fastest L600m and fourth fastest L400m. He’s a big watch first up in his second career preparation.


WATCHLIST EL SOLEADO was good in amongst some good company, finishing 4th in Heat 1 on Jan 30 behind the likes of Smokin’ Romans and Nugget over the 1000m. This was the returning 3yo gelding’s second jump out following another 4th placing on Jan 16, which was also in amongst good company, both jump outs without the blinkers he wore on debut so keep a close eye on that gear change first up as well. He was disappointing on debut but that was up the straight at Flemington behind Doull and he did start a $9.50 SP third fav, so there was some stable and market expectation there and if he heads to a maiden first up now as a 3yo, he can go well.


MISS SUBTLY has 4x 2nd’s from 4x starts having run into some smart ones in all of them including Manhattan Thunder (then ran 4th at Caulfield behind Boogie Dancer), Nanagui (won Listed race next start), Clarity (since 2nd in BM78) and Sweetened. It was good to see her first past the line in Heat 7 on Jan 30 where she led and was challenged, but was able to fend them off late. Solid return so keep an eye out for another jump out from this filly.


PIVOT CITY went straight to the front in Heat 10 on Jan 30 and cruised to the line, a lovely first jump out from this 2yo colt.


PAKENHAM - 31 January 2023

WATCHLIST

John Sadler has a nice filly on his hands in EXPLOSIVE ROSIE. This daughter of Smart Missile caught the eye from a pair of jump outs as a 2yo, finishing 2nd on Jun 22 behind Cotel (won on debut) before winning on Jul 5 and then being put away for a spell. She returned in Heat 7 on Jan 31 as a 3yo where she showed early speed to push forward to lead under a hold, extending away over the concluding stages despite the jockey sitting very quietly throughout.


GEELONG - 31 January 2023

OTHER

The $1.95M filly in HUMMING showed her lovely turn of foot again in Heat 16 on Jan 31. She was away well, but was taken back in the early stages from out wide to be a clear last as they approached the bend where she picked up, got to the outside and then was asked to extend a little late by Damian Lane and that she did, finishing really well and doing her best work past the line. Her closing speed was similar to her Jan 16 where she went to the line behind Ruthless Dame while alongside The Fortune Teller, so there doesn’t look to be any doubt on her talent and her breeding suggests that, a half-sister to Acrobat and Ennis Hill, the mum of impressive 2yo winner Learning To Fly on the weekend. Doubt they’ll be wasting many runs of a filly with that sort of page and on the back of her work, she’ll be going really well on debut in any maiden she goes.


WATCHLIST

He had race fitness with the 3-runs this prep, but MEDIA EMPIRE was a nice winner of Heat 15 on Jan 31 where he went straight to the front and didn’t look back, only Three Rings getting close with a 6L gap back to 3rd and also clocking the equal second fastest time of the morning with I’m Thunderstruck. He’s been ordinary this prep but is 55-rated and it looked as though the blinkers went on here, so look for him fourth up in a BM58 where he can run and likely at a nice price.


MORNINGTON - 1 February 2023

WATCHLIST

BLUE CHIP GIRL was back at the jump outs in Heat 13 on Feb 1 for her third career preparation now, cruising the the line in 3rd place as she just went through the motions out in front. A $200k Magic Millions purchase, we’ve always been a fan of this American Pharoah filly following pretty much all of her jump outs, so certainly very welcoming to seeing her back in work and we’ll follow her into another jump out before hopefully debuting. She’s some got talent.


BENDIGO - 2 February 2023

WATCHLIST

GARGANTUAN was probably a touch out of his depth up the straight at Flemington where he also hung in really badly late and as a result dropped out over the concluding stages. Back to the jump outs, sitting in behind the leaders in Heat 1 on Feb 2 before edging off the fence late and powering over the top to win in the fastest time of the morning. Look for him in a Class 1 or hopefully a BM58 second up.


Shane Fliedner could have a nice 3yo on his hands in ALLOCATE. He was 2nd to the 2yo Celui in a Dec 6 jump out, that colt winning on debut, before then running 4th on Jan 20 where he was actually quite poor. He was given a freshen up and returned for an official trial on Jan 11 where he sat outside the leader in Dinga before being ridden out and extending away really nicely, winning by 3L with a massive further 8L gap back to third. He didn’t have the same sort of space in Heat 2 on Feb 2 despite clearly being the best away, restrained to take a sit along the fence and only getting out really late along the inside but exploding to the front to win late. He looks to have a ripper turn of foot and expect him to be near the lead on debut so he’s one we can follow on debut. He goes well.


RUNPUKYA put in a nice effort behind Red Hawk in his first jump out on Jan 10, likewise in Heat 3 on Feb 2. He was clearly the best away but was heavily restrained in the early stages and forced to come back and travel wide throughout, coming to the middle of the track in the straight where he came home nicely over the concluding stages, hitting the line strongly despite fighting the jockey for the first half of the jump out. Happy to keep a close eye on him for when he debuts.


IMELDA MAYHEM is a very speedy filly. Lindsay Park acquire her on the back of three separate NZ trials, the first a 2nd placing on Apr 12 before then bolting in on Jun 28 and Oct 18 by massive margins. She picked up where she left off in her first Australian jump out, bolting in Heat 4 on Feb 2 in the second fastest time of the morning that was way above average. She went straight to the front and was way too quick, so expect the same on debut. A filly to watch.


Two jump out wins for SQUAW, the first on Jan 20 and again in Heat 8 on Feb 2 where she went straight to the front over the 1000m and didn’t look like losing. Ignore her debut run on a Heavy(10) track as the meeting was abandoned shortly after her run so it’s certainly encouraging to see her winning these really well. She’ll likely be a big price on debut so we’ll keep a close eye on where she ends up.


AVOCA - 3 February 2023

It didn’t have the big margin like her first jump out on Jan 23, but MISS MILHOUS was super again in Heat 8 on Feb 3 when finishing 3rd. The 3yo filly got a lovely trail in the back half of the field along the fence behind the leaders before peeling out late and closing really nicely once she did get out into that clear air. She wasn’t ‘pushed out’, but was given a bit more reign and ridden differently where she was asked to close off from behind, so very encouraging signs and quite convinced this is a nice filly. As mentioned the other week, she was a $220k buy and Archie looks to have a nice Toronado filly on his hands. Very keen to follow her into her debut.


WATCHLIST

Liked the different approach they ‘tried’ to take with AVOID ME in Heat 2 on Feb 3 as she was heavily restrained in the early stages and forced to travel at the back, which she clearly wasn’t a fan of and once they let her take off around the field approaching the bend, she really got into her work and came home really nicely to get over the top and win. In her first jump out on Jan 23 she just went straight to the front and won with ease despite covering a lot more ground in the middle of the track. She’s a speed filly, so looking for a 1000m mid-week maiden where she can lead and be very hard to run down.


TAPTOE was super here in Heat 7 on Feb 3 over the 1000m. The lightly raced 6yo mare showed some nice early speed to take up the lead before being restrained to come back to the field but it was her work in the straight that was the most impressive, kicking away around the bend from a ridden out Mevius (67-rater albeit a 2000m+ horse) to record a dominate victory and she even looked like she was still full of running late too, being pulled up. Doug Whitworth paid $30k for this Reward For Effort mare back in 2018 and he’s only seen her at the races once where she was poor, but that was a year ago and she looks to be in really good order here. Expect to see another jump out, but quietly impressed with this bit of work.


FLEMINGTON - 3 February 2023

WATCHLIST

It’s hard not to mention SOJU following her second jump out win. She won a Jan 27 jump out by a huge margin in the fastest time of the morning where she went straight to the front and gave nothing else a chance, similar to her work in Heat 6 on Feb 4 where she also led and steamed to the line late, clocking the third fastest time of the morning. She’s a daughter of Capitalist that was purchased for $100k with her half-sister by Extreme Choice recently being purchased for $360, she looks very speedy and likely is suited by a 1000m race on debut.

As we often see, it was a case of blinkers on for READ MY LIPS and he went bang in Heat 10 on Feb 4, ridden to out to record a massive victory. Will say that he did have race fitness having had a 5-week freshen up, so considering he was ridden out too, he should be winning like this.

Keeping a close eye on the 2nd and 3rd horses in SQUEAK, who was forced to take a sit here when he wanted to get out and run, and STARBURY, who’s a gelding we have mentioned several times and we’re a huge fan.

 
WARWICK FARM - 30 January 2023

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