Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Tuesday, 18 April 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - those that we are betting / playing are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and race thoughts, while those we aren't betting / playing are included in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" and are worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST
Geelong, Race 4
#5 HURRICANE THUNDER (7) - M, W & J Hawkes
BlackBook jump out comments:
HURRICANE THUNDER was huge on debut at Sale back in October 2022, settling last in a big field before having to weave through a stack of traffic as he was held up and checking off multiple heels but rattled home in the meetings fastest L800m/600m/400m and second fastest L200m to finish 3rd. He was put away following this run, returning in Heat 2 on Mar 10 for his first jump out this preparation where Oli took it easy on him, travelling wide and on speed without being asked for an effort throughout. He was the only maiden in this field yet easily looked to be travelling the best in a heat that was the fifth quickest of the morning. Hoping he has another jump out prior to resuming.
Last Updated: 7:34am AEDT on Tuesday, 18th April 2023.
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):