BlackBook - Thursday, 18 May 2023
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Thursday, 18 May 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - those that we are betting / playing are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and race thoughts, while those we aren't betting / playing are included in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" and are worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST
Kyneton, Race 1
#8 LADY HOUDINI (5) - B Brisbourne
BlackBook jump out comments:
Can’t fault the work of LADY HOUDINI late, closing over the top of Demilitarized and Triumphantly late to take out Heat 14 on May 9. The unraced 3yo filly was having her third jump out, this time over 1100m as she sat just behind the speed throughout before peeling out late and coming over the top to win quite nicely. Greg Adamo paid $1k for this filly from the Inglis Online Sales back in June 2022 and not he back of her jump outs, he should make that back very quickly.
Last Updated: 7:19am AEDT on Thursday, 18th May 2023.
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):