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BlackBook - Saturday, 6 May 2023

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Saturday, 6 May 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - those that we are betting / playing are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and race thoughts, while those we aren't betting / playing are included in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" and are worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.

 
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST

Sandown, Race 2

#6 WRITTEN SWOOSH (11) - P Stokes

BlackBook jump out comments:

No surprise to see WRITTEN SWOOSH win nicely in Heat 5 on Apr 11 over the 750m, she’s a speedy and talented filly. She was unlucky not to win the Blue Diamond Preview on debut when 2nd and then was never a chance second up at Moonee Valley as she was taken to last. Now a 3yo, she’s returned nicely.

Morphetville, Race 5

#10 DOWN LOW (6) - M Price & M Kent Jnr

BlackBook jump out comments:

DOWN LOW is back in super order. The 2yo daughter of Deep Field just cruised out the back in a synthetic jump out on Apr 17 but if you watch past the line, that’s where she’s doing her best work. There was no hiding her in her work in Heat 12 on Apr 24 as she idled up along the outside to then be asked for an effort around the 200m, responding and really attacking the line and recording quite a dominate victory in the end. Seamus Mills paid $200k for this filly and although she wasn’t great on debut, she’s been given time and looks to have improved now into her second prep.

Last Updated: 8:42am AEDT on Saturday, 6th May 2023.

 
STAKING

We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.


Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".


This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.

If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.

If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.

If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.


We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):

BetSmart
.pdf
Download PDF • 920KB

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