BlackBook - Saturday, 21 May 2022

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Saturday, 21 May 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.


CLICK HERE TO SEE OUR BLACKBOOK SUMMARY


FLEMINGTON - Race 7

OTHER

He had the benefit of a run this prep, but #6 ROMANCER was way too slick for them in Heat 14 on May 16 over the 1000m, winning in the fastest time of the morning. He has a second up record of 6: 2-0-1 with a Soft track record of 18: 5-2-3, so he’s certainly a huge watch second up and more so on a soft track.


ROSEHILL - Race 1

O’TYCOON - Bjorn Baker

Dec 16 (Warwick Farm) - Bjorn Baker has a smart 2yo here, the son of Written Tycoon couldn’t have been more impressive - despite being slowly away, he cruised up to sit 3-4 wide, asked for an effort at the top of the straight and exploded to the front to win by 2.31L ahead of Snitcat, a 2yo with race fitness and experience who then ran 2nd and 3rd - he was a $180k Inglis Classic Yearling Purchase - super trial.

Apr 22 (Warwick Farm) - smart 2yo colt here with 2x trial wins now - he jumped beautifully here, went forward and travelled beautifully with the head down - kicked away late and was a class above - clocked 48.31s vs days average of 48.75s and a L600m of 33.86s vs days average of 34.20s - smart colt.

 
BLACKBOOK SUMMARY

​Runners

Confidence - Comments

Rosehill, Race 1

#7 O'TYCOON (3) - B Baker

​Medium - Heavy on debut is a concern but race drops away after SCR - hopefully gets out closer to the jump.

Flemington, Race 7

#6 ROMANCER (12) - G Begg

​Low/Medium - won this race last year at $101 - worth a small play and definitely in the Quaddie.

Flemington, Race 5 - STAR PATROL looks very very very hard to beat so if you're still eligible for UniBet promotions, the $2.50 (for a $50 max bet) looks an in and out job for a nice little profit - we're on and will be hoping he pays for a nice dinner tonight.

Last Updated: 8:36am on Saturday, 21st May 2022.

 

Results (Aug '20 to Today):

'Highlighted' Runners:

662x runners | 198x winners (30%) & 209x placings (61%)

Ave Betfair SP | $8.32 WIN $2.31 PLC


'Other' Runners:

789x runners | 176x winners (22%) & 215x placings (49%)

Ave Betfair SP | $13.25 WIN $3.13 PLC

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NOTES

Confidence levels will be as follows:

  • Low = not keen to bet.

  • Low/Medium = can win but not confident - small bet (if any at all).

  • Medium = one of the main winning chances - can bet.

  • High = very good winning chance - keen to have a bet.

  • Special = very keen, should be winning.

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