BlackBook - Saturday, 11 June 2022
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Saturday, 11 June 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.
CLICK HERE TO SEE OUR BLACKBOOK SUMMARY
SANDOWN - Race 1
The first two across the line in Heat 5 on May 25 are both worth following as they clocked the fastest 900m time of the day. In 1st was Jerome Hunter’s #9 THRON BONE, a 2yo gelding that ran a 4.25L 4th to Daumier on debut so there is clearly some opinion of this guy. His prior jump outs on Apr 27 and May 11 weren’t quite as impressive as this jump out, but he looks to have taken some nice improvement between each bit of work and is travelling well ahead of his resumption.
*in 2nd place was Garrucha, who ran 2nd on debut at Bendigo*
A couple of nice enough wins by a pair of 2yo’s in #12 BOOGIE DANCER, who won Heat 4 on May 24 in the fastest 800m time of the morning, and FAIRY SPIRIT, who won Heat 5 on May 24 in the second fastest time of the morning. Both are worth monitoring to see if they go towards another jump out, or now to the races.
SWAN HILL - Race 1
We mentioned #2 IMASUPERSTAR after his big Apr 29 win at Flemington in the fastest time of the morning when he was with Leon & Troy Corstens. He’s made the stable change to Tim Hughes, jumping out on the synthetic track at Pakenham and looking really slick in doing so, cruising to the line in Heat 5 on May 31 to finish a close 2nd. We mentioned him being a jump and run horse, which wasn’t the case here as he was forced to sit midfield and wide before showing nice closing speed despite being quietly ridden. He can go well on debut, especially if he sticks to a synthetic maiden.
*Please note, he's back with Leon & Troy Corstens.
#3 WANNABE FAMOUS is an interesting 2yo. He was no match for Sweet Mary in his first jump out on Apr 6, with that runner winning a BM64 first up. He has since won a pair of jump outs, the first of those on Apr 26 ahead of Dashing (since 3rd, 2nd and 2nd in MDN’s) and the latest in Heat 3 on June 1 where he won by a couple lengths quite comfortably in the end. A $10k buy from the 2020 Inglis Australian Weanling Sale, he looks as though he could be making that $ back quite quickly. One to watch for those country maidens.
Confidence - Comments
Sandown, Race 1
Look to play using the bonus back offers across the bookmakers - it's a tough race on the Heavy track to have any sort of confidence.
#9 THRON BONE (13) - J Hunter
#12 BOOGIE DANCER (5) - P Moody
Swan Hill, Race 1
Can double-bet both of our runners. Again, not a stack of confidence but both look winning chances but leant towards Imasuperstar on top.
#2 IMASUPERSTAR (10) - L & T Corstens
#3 WANNABE FAMOUS (8) - Q Scott
Last Updated: 9:03am on Saturday, 11th June 2022.
Results (Aug '20 to Today):
664x runners | 199x winners (30%) & 209x placings (61%)
Ave Betfair SP | $8.32 WIN $2.31 PLC
830x runners | 186x winners (22%) & 227x placings (50%)
Ave Betfair SP | $13.05 WIN $3.12 PLC
Recommend having a read of the below from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):
When you sign up, select 'JumpOuts' for how you Heard About them and "JUMPOUTS" in the Promo Code.
Confidence levels will be as follows:
Low = not keen to bet.
Low/Medium = can win but not confident - small bet (if any at all).
Medium = one of the main winning chances - can bet.
High = very good winning chance - keen to have a bet.
Special = very keen, should be winning.
Any questions / feedback / issues, please send us a message on Twitter or email us. Appreciate it.