Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Monday, 30 January 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - these are are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and thoughts. We have also included some runners in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" that are those worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST
Newcastle, Race 3
#3 KING'S DUTY (9) - M Minervini
BlackBook trial comments:
Three trials for three wins for KING’S DUTY now, taking out Trial 16 on Jan 24 over 845m where he led and kicked away over the concluding stages to record a pretty easy 2.16L win. He did similar in his 900m trial on Jan 4, leading before being put under pressure over the concluding stages and also kicking away late to win by 3.41L. He’s going well enough at the trials to be one to watch closely on debut.
No bet - M Weir sticks, which is a positive but just not confidence enough to be betting up at the ~$2.50.
Last Updated: 8:22am AEDT on Monday, 30th January 2023.
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):