BlackBook - Monday, 27 June 2022
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Monday, 27 June 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.
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PAKENHAM - Race 1
The synthetic track might be the key to #13 ROLLING FIELDS, bolting in Heat 3 on June 8 over the 1000m. The 4yo gelding led throughout before being put under pressure at the top of the straight and extending away over the concluding stages, putting a good margin on the field to win with ease. He was a $2.90 SP favourite on debut at Kilmore when 10th of 11, which was the day where you could not see a thing with the fog so it’s hard to know what went on but he was beaten by 22.2L… This was a super win though so check for some gear changes (may of had winkers on here) and watch for him second up on the synthetic track - expecting an improved performance if so.
PAKENHAM - Race 8
#7 BARONESSA was disappointing first up when 5th of 10 on the Pakenham Synthetic over 1000m, heading back to the jump outs to win Heat 1 on June 8 by a big margin although she did clock the slowest of the 3x heats. Wonder if she didn’t handle the 63kg first up and would be better suited in a BM64 with less weight? She did win a BM64 over 1009m at Yarra Valley last preparation.
Confidence - Comments
Pakenham, Race 1
#13 ROLLING FIELDS (1) - G Eurell
Think he's an E/W chance but he's slightly hard to trust due to that debut. Jump out was slick, but he was ridden out and pushed. Kaido is the top pick with He's Heaven the main danger along with Rolling Fields.
If having a bet, probably ½ stake.
Pakenham, Race 8
#7 BARONESSA (11) - S Stockdale
Not sure why they went to a Heavy10 Mornington track after a massive Synthetic jump out win at Pakenham... now goes to the home track, happy to have a small bet - staking ½ at the ~$31 this morning and ½ at SP.
Very disappointing that MR ROUQUIN has developed a foot abscess, which is why he's been scratched. Very disappointing as this looked a really good race for him and on a selfish note, he was $23 into $5. Now just really hoping he recovers well and is back at the races in no time.
Last Updated: 8:23am on Monday, 27th June 2022.
Results (Aug '20 to Today):
666x runners | 199x winners (30%) & 211x placings (62%)
Ave Betfair SP | $8.30 WIN $2.31 PLC
864x runners | 193x winners (22%) & 236x placings (50%)
Ave Betfair SP | $13.02 WIN $3.13 PLC
Recommend having a read of the below from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):
When you sign up, select 'JumpOuts' for how you Heard About them and "JUMPOUTS" in the Promo Code.
Confidence levels will be as follows:
Low = not keen to bet.
Low/Medium = can win but not confident - small bet (if any at all).
Medium = one of the main winning chances - can bet.
High = very good winning chance - keen to have a bet.
Special = very keen, should be winning.
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