Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Monday, 25 July 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.
WARRACKNABEAL - Race 1
Always thought #2 CASTILLIAN had some talent but he hasn’t quite shown in on raceday yet, making the switch to the in-form Patrick Payne stable now and he looks to be moving beautifully. He closed super in a Jul 7 jump out and likewise again in Heat 12 on Jul 18 where he was taken the the back of the field and asked to work home in the straight, going down by only 0.7L when 3rd. First up he was 4th to He’s Essential with I’m Innocent (2nd) since winning by 4.2L ahead of Viking Rebel, who was 3rd in the same race. He was a $300k buy, so his owners will certainly be hoping he can capitalise on the talent he’s shown at the races soon.
Confidence - Comments
Warracknabeal, Race 1
#2 CASTILLIAN (4) - P Payne
Not sure how much improvement he will have due to the new stable considering it's only been a month, but the form from his first up run is handy and he's been well supported in early markets. He has a fitness and experience edge on a few of these and JO's were nice. He's the one to beat in this race for us - hoping we can get a better price ($3+) closer to the jump.
Last Updated: 8:15am on Monday, 25th July 2022.
Results (Aug '20 to Today):
670x runners | 202x winners (30%) & 211x placings (62%)
Ave Betfair SP | $8.27 WIN $2.30 PLC
911x runners | 202x winners (22%) & 252x placings (50%)
Ave Betfair SP | $12.91 WIN $3.12 PLC
Recommend having a read of the below from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):
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