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Weekly Review - November 21 to November 27

CRANBOURNE - 21 November 2022

We mentioned KERMACETO following her Nov 7 jump out where she cruised into 3rd place, the 2nd placed horse being Daimyo who ran a 1.4L 4th on Saturday at Tatura when closing quite smartly from the back. Our filly though was back a the jump outs in Heat 17 on Nov 21, stepping up to 1000m and recording a very slick win. She jumped beautifully, settling just behind the leaders before getting some room in the straight and displaying a lovely turn of foot despite never actually being fully asked for an effort, going to and through the line quite smartly. A 3yo daughter of Kermadec that was a $45k purchase, she looks a lovely mover and we have to be with her on debut.


WATCHLIST

ILLATIVE was a very easy winner of Heat 1 on Nov 21. A 2yo I Am Invincible filly, she’s a half-sister to Illation and Dragon Leap and is worth keeping an eye purely on breeding, let alone following an easy debut jump out win.


Slick bit of work by SONORA in Heat 8 on Nov 21, coming over the top to win like a nice horse.


You wouldn’t know JUDICIARY is an 8-start maiden with only 1x career placing based on his work in Heat 10 on Nov 21. The 4yo Sebring gelding sat quietly to the rear of the field before closing really well while put under only minimal pressure, running past Bella Sorellina quite easily as he took ground off the leader in Toronasaurus Rex. He got out over 2000m at the end of last prep, so it’s very encouraging to see him doing some nice work over 800m and in only his first jump out back.


FLYING ON A LIMB did it nicely enough as she led from start to finish in Heat 11 on Nov 21 while under a grip from the jockey, never let go at any stage. This was her third jump out following a pair of jump outs on Oct 17 and Oct 24 and a 4-week freshen up, finishing 2nd in both of those behind Russian Mint (since 5th and 2nd in MDN’s) and Bemote (since 3rd in MDN). The daughter of Flying Artie was a $155k purchase and did it nicely enough here so she’s worth keeping an eye on for her debut.


KAPUNDA was running up asses in Heat 13 on Nov 21 for a majority of the straight but once he checked heels and got some clear air, he closed well over the top to win. It is only the Capitalist gelding’s first jump out this prep so one worth monitoring for another jump out.


BALLARAT - 21 November 2022

WATCHLIST

ELSKLING didn’t get clear galloping room in Heat 4 on Nov 21 until the final 200m but when she finally did, she closed superbly out wide to finish 4th but if you watch past the line, she’s a couple lengths in front quite quickly and easily.


VELENTINO was poor on debut when last (10th of 10), immediately spelled following this. Given time, he returned to win Heat 7 on Nov 21 when leading from start to finish and did so in slick time, the second fastest time of the morning.


SCUDERIA was quite a nice winner of Heat 11 on Nov 21 as she led and was very quietly ridden to the line but still holding off rivals that were pushed out. She’s no stranger to a jump out win, having won a Jun 29 jump out in a previous prep ahead of Intrepid Eagle (won first up) and PowerShare (was 4th and 2nd in MDN’s following). A 3yo daughter of Squamosa, she’s an interesting runner worth keeping in mind.


PAKENHAM - 22 November 2022

OTHER

SERASANA could be a nice filly. She was away horribly in a 650m jump out on Nov 7 but mustered early speed to boot up along the rail and win as she was just too speedy in the end. She stepped up to 1000m in Heat 3 on Nov 22 while also going against the older horses where she wasn’t away great but certainly better, settling to the rear of the field out wide under Mick Dee before she came out to the middle of the track at the top of the straight, was put under pressure and responded to close really well and especially so over the final 100m to finish a close 3rd. She ran past the 5yo Apache Star with ease while taking ground off the winner in Okay To Pay, both of whom are really good form references for an un-raced 2yo. A $400k Snitzel colt being out of Twilight Royale (a winner of the VRC Sires as a 2yo), she moved smartly here and love that it was against the older horses and over 1000m where she responded to riding. Happy to follow her into her debut.


A third jump out now for RHEINBERG and he’s ready to go to the races and make his Aus debut. Following wins on Oct 28 and Nov 11 at Flemington, the 4yo gelding stepped out over 1000m in Heat 5 on Nov 22 where he travelled comfortably 3-wide before cruising to the line under minimal pressure from Mick Dee, finishing a close 2nd as he was only nabbed late. He had the better of Siamese who was on his inside, a last start winner over 1400m, which is nice form to hold him in good stead for a maiden. He’s travelling well and will go well first up in Aus, happy to be following him.


FIELD THE MOMENT is another from Heat 5 on Nov 22 that is going to be worth following. She was ridden with no urgency in the early stages to drop back to a clear last, travelling very quietly with the head down as she slowly edged to the middle of the track around the bend where she was then put under some pressure and showed a lovely turn of foot to get up and win. She was very quietly ridden in a previous Nov 8 jump out, so it’s certainly encouraging to see her respond to riding here and it’s not much of a surprise having shown a nice turn of foot on debut (6th fastest L400m of meeting) before going on to run 3.4L off a Listed race in SA, so the stable clearly had an opinion of her. Nice trial, she’s a filly we want to follow first up.


WATCHLIST

MAMBO DANCER looked solid in Heat 5 on Nov 22, closing nicely under her own steam with Jamie Kah in the saddle. The leader was off and gone at the top of the straight, but she just went through the motions quietly over the concluding stages as she cruised into 2nd place with a good gap to the rest of the field, the winner clocking slick time in the process. She had a previous jump out on Nov 15 that was run in similar fashion, also cruising to the line when 3rd, but this is also her fourth career prep without getting to the races. A $100k daughter of Rubick, she looks to have nice closing speed and moves well.


IVANOV ran 7th (of 13) on debut where he was hard ridden and off the bit from the 800m mark, but okay enough to finish 4.6L off the winner. He went back to the trials here in Heat 5 on Nov 22 over the 1000m with the blinkers on where he was last on the fence and actually closed quite well into 4th place here under no jockey pressure. He might run a cheeky race second up.


COLAC - 23 November 2022

MORNINGTON - 23 November 2022

OTHER

Putting a bit of a watch on BLACK ZOUS as his jump outs have been interesting. On Nov 9 over 1050m he led throughout but dropped back over the final 200m as the jockey had no interest in having him find the line. In Heat 4 on Nov 23 he was away well again but the jockey heavily restrained him where he threw the head around and dropped back to a very clear last, which was the case for much of the heat as he fought the jockey and was even held up slightly around the bend. Once he was finally allowed to run, he absolutely flew home into 2nd place, running past Governor Landy with ease. He only had the one start last prep that was a 2nd to Shove Over who then won a CL1 next start before finishing 2nd in a BM64 and 4th in a HCP race at Flemington - he ran the meetings fastest L800/600/400/200m that day and was unlucky not to win. Now a 4yo, this Zoustar gelding looks in good order and happy to follow him first up.


STRIKING PLAINS looks to have a nice turn of foot, coming down the middle of the track in Heat 5 on Nov 23 after settling at the rear of the field to win quite comfortably. He had a quiet Nov 11 jump out as well so this bit of work where he was put under a bit of pressure and responded is certainly encouraging and will really top her off for his resumption. His first two career runs weren’t great, but he may have been gelded since then and he might have just needed time, now a 4yo gelding. Have liked his work at the jump outs, he can run well first up.


BEL AIR has some handy form. He ran 2nd on debut when coming from near last after being wide early, recording the meetings fastest L600/400/200m in the process. He then went to Caulfield and ran 4th to Boogie Dancer (1st) and Berkley Square (2nd) before then running 2nd to Aft Cabin over 1400m at Sandown third up. He’s been gelded in the break and returned for a soft Nov 11 jump out before a lovely bit of work in Heat 9 on Nov 23 where he just cruised out the back throughout before working his way home nicely under no pressure from the jockey, only just getting nabbed late. He’s jumped out without the blinkers he’s worn in all three career starts, so there will be further improvement to come on raceday if they are on in addition to the gelding. He looks a nice moving 3yo Written Tycoon gelding.


FLEMINGTON (POLY TRACK) - 25 November 2022

FLEMINGTON (INSIDE GRASS) - 25 November 2022

Very keen to follow HOOFS DON’T LIE first up. We mentioned him following his Nov 11 jump out on the synthetic track where he cruised to the line to finish 2nd alongside some handy enough gallopers, with One Reason a good distance back in 4th place who then won a maiden following this. His work in Heat 11 on Nov 25 was just as good, sitting off the very speedy Idris throughout the heat with that galloper ultimately winning in the clear fastest time of the morning. He held on well and put a big gap on 3rd here too, a very good jump out that would have seen him win any other on the day. He was 3rd on debut behind Thron Bone and Ghaanati before finishing 5th to Giga Kick, which is very handy form so add that to his slick jump outs and the ultimate gear change of being gelded over his break, he should be awfully hard to beat in any maiden first up.

OTHER SUGAR POP is certainly back in good order following a very disappointing one run prep. She was solid in her return jump out on Nov 18, but it was her work in Heat 7 on Nov 25 that certainly caught the eye as she the clear widest throughout but closed off nicely to finish 2nd to the talented Shaquero while the rest of the field behind her are all previous winners. The 4yo mare is now with Matthew Ellerton following the trainer switch of Kennedy Racing and she should be winning a maiden sooner rather than later on the back of these jump outs.

WATCHLIST

Now with his third stable in Nick Ryan, the 5yo gelding ZION moved really well in Heat 13 on Nov 25 as he just cruised to the line under no jockey pressure.

 
GOSFORD - 21 November 2022

WATCHLIST

In typical Gai Waterhouse fashion, URBAN JEWEL went straight to the front and led from start to finish in Trial 9 on Nov 21 over the 1000m. The 4yo Capitalist mare was put under some pressure late from Rachel King and opened up an easy 5.13L lead. Nice first trial.


ALWAYS IN has talent but her starts are horrible. She missed the kick by a good 3-4L in her first trial on Nov 7 at Wyong over the 1000m but somehow managed to close off and win up the inside. She was away better in Trial 10 on Nov 21 but was still a clear last in the early stages and then again closed off superbly up the inside to finish 5th (less than 1L off 2nd) but if you watch past the line, she gets up alongside the winner despite going down by over 4L. Very hard to trust her considering her starts, but her trials have been good still.


A pair of 3yo filly’s were having their first trial of their career and looked worthy of following into another trial. PARTY DOLL won Trial 15 on Nov 22 in the second fastest 800m time of the morning, closing super after settling midfield. AMRAP led from start to finish in Trial 16 on Nov 22 to record an easy win while being restrained.

Likewise a pair of 4yo mares, being WINDSHADOW (1st) and TIFF (2nd) in Trial 21 on Nov 22, both of whom cruised to the line under no riding.


ROSEHILL - 24 November 2022

OTHER HULM certainly has a bit of talent about him. He was quite impressive in his first trial on Nov 14 over 740m on the synthetic track, traveling strongly out wide under a hold from James McDonald before letting down in the straight like a nice horse, clocking the second fastest time of the morning but clearly doing his best work past the line as he opened up a huge gap. James McDonald stuck with this Written Tycoon colt here as he stepped up to 1030m in Trial 2 on Nov 24, where he was a bit slowly away and did a bit wrong in the early stages as he crept up to the lead out wide, wanting to go on with it and overracing. Despite this, it was his work over the final 200m that was slick again, responding to the riding and extending to win as he attacked the line and again doing his best work past the line. Like the way he moves and happy to follow him on debut.


WATCHLIST

POZESANA (1st) and OFF DA HIZZLE (2nd) were both solid in Trial 8 on Nov 24, OFF DA HIZZLE in particular as it was her first trial this prep where she closed super after not having much galloping room early.


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