Weekly Review - May 25 to May 31
CRANBOURNE - 25 May 2020
Based on the past 360 Cranbourne jump outs, the average overall time on a soft track for 800m is 48.6s, while the average overall time for 1000m is 1:01.8s.
A LITTLE LUCE - J Horner
This 3yo Kuroshio filly jumped out well over 800m at Cranbourne in Heat 7. She wasn't asked for a huge effort and looked pretty strong over the line in what seemed to be slow time. She has only had two starts where she ran 3rd 2.8L behind Glenferrie Girl and then 2nd 1.25L behind Elderflower gapping third. Given time, she would've definitely improved and she should be breaking her maiden status at some stage this campaign.
OTHER NOTABLE RUNNERS AND JUMP OUTS:
REBATE was slow out in Heat 1 but made up a lot of ground to finish within 1.5L of the winner, expensive colt RHODE SCHOLAR. She also won a jump out on May 4 while also being 4th in her first jump out on Apr 20.
The un-raced 2yo colt BE CURIOUS went to the line with the raced CAUTAMENTE in Heat 3. They finished 2nd and 3rd while being largely untested.
PEREIRA and ABYSSINIAN went to the line in front of SHOTGUN ROSIE in Heat 4. They were very quietly ridden and looked super crossing the line.
FIGHTING WHISKEY closed well over the top of in Heat 5. Behind him travelling just as well was CHICA BONITA, both hitting the line with pace.
Super win by PAY YOUR DUES in Heat 6. He was super hard held finishing alongside a ridden out JUST LIKE MUM. With his low rating and form around the likes of Golden Gorge, Namimo and Foxy Lady last prep, we would think he'll win some races this prep.
BALLARAT - 26 May 2020
Based on the past 103 Ballarat jump outs, the average overall time on synthetic for 850m is 51.37s, while the average overall time for 1100m is 1:07.46s.
LA MARSA - M Payne
Heat 7 (53.12s) was a very impressive jump out for a 2yo filly. She finished 3rd in a heat that included much older and experience horses in Gina's Hope (71-rated 5yo), Private Lounge (68-rated 6yo), Yankee Toff (64-rated 5yo) and Zabelarina (73-rated 5yo). She settled in behind the leaders and had no room in the straight to move until the last 50m where she made good ground past the line. The time was very slow, some 1.7s slower than average which isn't flash but she went to the line with some good horses and would be suitable in a synthetic Ballarat maiden.
She's in the blue, yellow and white silks with a black/white cap for the jump out below.
OTHER NOTABLE RUNNERS AND JUMP OUTS:
LADY OF FLANDERS found the line strongly in Heat 1 (1:08.08s) over the 1100m, running the quickest of 3x heats that morning. The time was slower than the average synthetic time of 1:07.46s though. Her second jump out back after not being seen at the races for over a year and only having the 2 runs since 2018.
He didn't win, but FAST PLAN made up a lot of ground in the straight to finish 4th in Heat 3 (1:08.14s). In saying that, he only made ground on an unraced 3yo, a 53-rated 8yo gelding and maiden 4yo. So the jump out form isn't too flash.
Super return from BACKPEDAL in Heat 4 (51.09s) where she had the race fit (and recent maiden winner) BONES covered. Lightly raced 3yo filly with only 3 starts that boasts an 8L maiden win and being only 3L off Loving Gaby... exciting filly returning.
Heat 5 (51.25s) was won well by a race fit BROADWAYANDFOURTH in front of the stayer TYSONIC and lightly raced 6yo HAILEYBURY MISS. All three of these runners looked well held together when crossing the line.
Super run down the middle of the track by BOWING in Heat 6 (51.91s). The 4yo was last and wide throughout the heat and just powered over the top of them in the final 300m for probably the biggest run of the day.
MORNINGTON - 27 May 2020
Based on the past 160 Mornington jump outs, the average overall time for 1000m on synthetic is 1:07.53s while on soft it is 1:05.44s. The average overall time for 650m on all track conditions is 36.23s.
RETELL - L Tolson & L Proctor
Thought this 3yo gelding hit the line very hard over 600m in a May 13 alongside the 70+ rated horses, Raven's Blaze and Remastered. He's shown this nice turn of foot and late pace again in Heat 7 (1:06.15s) over 1000m. Despite not winning, he was in front past the line and again, that turn of foot was evident out in the middle of the track. One for the watchlist.
OTHER NOTABLE RUNNERS AND JUMP OUTS:
A Feek quinella in Heat 2 (1:06.15s) with MISS POLANSKI just winning from OCEAN MISS. The former led the whole way while the latter made up good ground in the straight and hit the line well.
She was ridden out but the turn of foot displayed by the 2yo Zoustar filly, FREE FLYING STAR in Heat 3 (1:06.75s) was as eye-catching as they come. She was in a bunched field and put close to 5L on them in matter of seconds and then was eased down. Keeping an eye out.
May 13's blackbooker SO LET’S TOAST was beaten by a nose on the line in the quickest of the morning, Heat 4 (1:05.42s). He was pushed along and ridden out through the line, which will bring him on fitness wise for his debut.
Despite the slowish time, liked how PRINCE OF MERCIA led to win Heat 5 (1:07.07s) and also liked how WUNAMBAL hit the line and made ground in the straight. They gapped the rest of the field.
Apr 29's blackbooker LIVING DANGEROUSLY jumped out in Heat 13 over 1000m but the vision didn't show the end and there is no time available so no idea how she went.
PAKENHAM - 28 May 2020
SAVANNAH CLOUD - P Stokes
He featured in our jump out review back in February after jump outs on Oct 16 over 600m (36.10s), Feb 5 (51.42s) over 800m and Feb 10 over 1000m where he showed some super closing speed. He was accepted in race but subsequently scratched and sent to the paddock. He took out Heat 5 (51.85s) over 800m (pink silks and black sleeves) in his return as he gears up for a late season 2yo debut. He's a Savabeel (G1 winnner at 2000m) colt from an O'Reilly mare who was a G3 winner herself over 2400m so expect him to get out to a bit of a distance. Potentially even a 3yo derby horse later this year? Would be a big call.
OTHER NOTABLE RUNNERS AND JUMP OUTS:
Quickest heat of the day for 1000m was Heat 2 (1:02.40s), won by SANSOM coming off an 11-week let up after a Group 3 placing. In 2nd place was THAT GIRL who can't be far away from a second career win. She's amassed $115k prize money in only the 5 starts and looks as though she'll get that second win this prep.
May 13's blackbooker KUMO SUN took out Heat 3 over 1000m (1:04.15s). It's worth noting the other place getters were un-raced 2yo's so a bit of an unknown in terms of the rest of the field but the winner of the May 13, Caffrey won a bm64 at Geelong on Friday so that certainly strengthens the form.
KYNETON - 29 May 2020
CODE BLUE - P Payne
This 3yo Tavistock filly jumped out since her last run on the 14th of May. The jump out was over 1200m in Heat 10 and she finished off strongly under a hold to finish just on the back of DOUBLE YOU TEE who was pushed out despite being 94-rated gelding and coming off a run only 6 days prior at Flemington. She was narrowly beaten last start and will remain in maiden grade which makes her a great betting prospect. Definitely one to put in the blackbook.
OTHER NOTABLE RUNNERS AND JUMP OUTS:
We tipped HIDDEN CHARM first up in a 1000m on a Heavy10. She led but was overran late by Dinga, who has since ran well in bm64's since so the form is okay. She's had a let up now, winning Heat 5 over 800m with absolute ease. Will be following her as she resumes as we'd like to see another bm58 where she would be very competitive.
ROGER'S DAY won Heat 7 with ease on BASTYAN. An impressive debut winner at a big $16 SP, he was sent for a spell and looks in pretty good order ahead of his second prep to continue his undefeated record.
FLEMINGTON - 29 May 2020
ZESTY BELLE - M Ellerton & S Zahra
We listed this 2yo filly as one to keep safe when she resumes after her May 22 (47.82s) jump out. After her big win in Heat 3 (51.79s), happy to list her as one we will be following and pretty keen on when she resumes. In 2nd place was Pocket Goddess, who was coming off a close 2nd only 23 days ago in a $90k race at the Bool. She made a very early 2yo debut in Sep 2019, 8 months ago but has now been given a lot of time. Based off these jump outs, she has improved a lot and keen to follow.
MARINE BELLE - L & T Corstens
She ran the fastest time of the day on May 15 (46.92s) and has now pantsed them in Heat 6 (50.96s), again the fastest time of the day by close to a massive 2s. Finishing no worse than 4th in her 4 career starts, she's now had a nice 7-week let up alongside two impressive jump out wins. She's one we'll want to be on first up if she's placed well.
OTHER NOTABLE RUNNERS AND JUMP OUTS:
SIRIUS SUSPECT had them all covered with ease in Heat 1 (1:10.17s) over the 1100m but he had the benefit of race fitness having ran well in a handicap race at Flemington only 2 weeks prior.
Thought SWEET GOLD closed well out wide in Heat 2 (51.95s). She is still a maiden after 10 starts, but has placed in 8 of those and is yet to miss a placing first up in 3 attempts or second up in another 3 attempts. She looks in good order ahead of only her second Aus campagin.
No blinkers for KING KOHEI when closing very well down the very outside of the track in Heat 4 (52.14s). The 6yo had a very long prep and resumes after a well-deserved spell. He's 2 from 4 first up and this was a nice jump out.