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Weekly Review - March 20 to March 26

CRANBOURNE - 20 March 2023

OTHER

A pair of jump out wins now for TORONLUCA ahead of her debut. This 3yo filly had a pair of jump outs in a previous campaign in Oct/Nov last year that culminated in her cruising to a 2nd placing behind the talented 2yo Serasana on Nov 7 before going for a spell. She returned on Mar 5 that saw her win quite well down the middle of the track where she was again cruising throughout, albeit over only 650m, before then stepping up to 800m in Heat 8 on Mar 20 for quite a dominant win in the end. She looked to be quite heavily restrained down the back straight as she took some cover form the wide barrier and she clearly did her best work in the straight once she did peel out for a bit of clear air, closing superbly down the middle of the track again under minimal pressure to get up and win. This Toronado filly looks a lovely mover and wouldn’t surprise us to see Luke Oliver make that $31k back that he paid for her at the Magic Millions Sales. Keen to follow her.


WATCHLIST

THE EXTREME CAT won Heat 9 on Mar 20 but he was pushed out and only just got over the top of the leader in KEITANY who was the takeaway from this heat. This 3yo filly has a bit of mixed form, beaten only 0.3L on debut by Beefeaters (since won 2x BM58’s) before an 11-week let up and a very disappointing jump out on Mar 6, albeit a Heavy track so we can forgive that. She led them up here and while she would’ve had some residual fitness, she did it very easily and it took some urgency to get over the top of her late. She can run well in a maiden (hopefully a good track though).


PAKENHAM - 21 March 2023

OTHER

I Am Caviar attempted to kick away in Heat 5 on Mar 21 as he was put under a lot of pressure, but the class of ELLY DEE showed late as she closed super to get over the top and win, putting a huge gap on 3rd in the process. We backed her on debut at Mornington but she was no match for Musashi (won then on a 0-64 by 4L next start) despite accounting for the rest of the field, beating 3rd by 2.25L. She then went to Cranbourne and ran 3rd to Nunthorpe (since 3rd in Group 3) and Shaime (won MDN next start) while defeating Lievor (since 1st in MDN & BM64) and Reo (since 1st in MDN & CL1), so it’s super form all around her. Hoping she has another jump out before resuming but regardless, very keen to follow her and think she’ll be hard to beat first up.


WATCHLIST

PRIVATE JUMBO was given a very easy time in Heat 4 on Mar 21 in amongst some good company, all of whom have won their maiden while this 3yo gelding has had the 2x career runs for 2x 2nd’s but certainly has the talent to win a maiden. Keeping an eye on him into another jump out.


BALLARAT - 21 March 2023

WATCHLIST

We liked the work of ALEXEIN in her Feb 16 win that saw her cruise to victory under a hold, albeit not beating much in terms of quality of opposition. We didn’t get much more of a guide from her work in Heat 3 on Mar 21 as Dakota Lee ran off with the win in the fastest ever time for 850m at Ballarat so we need to split this heat into two so she has cruised to the line under a hold alongside some nice horses such as Eluding, All About Eve, Foxy Frida and Movader where she looked to be going just as well as all of them. She is a 6yo mare who only had the one start here at Ballarat that saw her finish 3rd but she’s likely come back better now and they’ve been very patient with her so on the back of these jump outs, she is one to keep a close eye on.


BENDIGO - 21 March 2023

WATCHLIST CHILLING was very quietly ridden in his Mar 14 official trial at Wangaratta but was a bit more on show in Heat 3 on Mar 21 as he matched motors with a race fit Celui throughout despite again being quietly ridden throughout. This grey son of Frosted is yet to be given a proper hit out so it’s hard to know whats under the bonnet but he looks a nice mover.


The Boulder City filly RUB OF THE GREEN got out to a sizeable lead in the early stages of Heat 5 on Mar 21 and looked the goods but they did catch her late, so unsure if she tired or if she was pulled up, which we’ll only find out once it’s too late as she would’ve already raced. Her first jump out on Feb 21 saw her quietly ridden out the back after being slow away while her official trial at Berrigan on Mar 4 doesn’t have any vision so it’s hard to get a real guide on her but think she’s worth keeping an eye on first up pending price.


MORNINGTON - 22 March 2023

WATCHLIST ZAKU is going to be an interesting runner if he ever finally gets to the racetrack, having his sixth jump out this year (and his ninth career) in Heat 7 on Mar 22. He looked like he was struggling, off the bit and pushed out well before the bend but once he got to the outside and finally straightened up, he actually closed nicely over the top and did win in the fastest time of the morning. Hard to have a stack of confidence but he’s won nicely enough here.


SEYMOUR - 22 March 2023

MORTLAKE - 22 March 2023

WATCHLIST

FERLAZZO still does a bit wrong but certainly think she has a maiden win in her. She held off a fast finishing Theycallmebruce (subsequent 2L MDN winner) in her first jump out over 800m on Mar 9 before stepping up to 1100m in Heat 10 on Mar 22 where she went forward from the inside draw but did look to tire late as she was overran over the concluding stages to finish 2nd. She can run a nice race first up.


HORSHAM - 23 March 2023

WATCHLIST

No shortage of talent in the breeding of LUIJZIKA being by Snitzel out of the very talented Group 1 winning mare Aloisia. Her first jump out on Mar 8 wasn’t great, but she obviously took a stack of improvement from that into her work in Heat 3 on Mar 23, likely due to the blinkers being on, where she went straight to the front and bolted in by a big margin in solid time while under very minimal pressure. Worth keeping a close eye on this 2yo filly for when she heads to the races.


SALE - 23 March 2023

FLEMINGTON - 24 March 2023

WATCHLIST

STATESWOMAN has a stack of speed and her work in Heat 2 on Mar 24 was no different, going straight to the front as she has done in all three of her career runs where she was way too speedy for some handy types such as Kazou. She’s coming off a 6-week let up so clearly has some residual fitness but this freshen up might do her a world of good as she has been able to hold on for that maiden win. Wouldn’t mind seeing her drop a touch in distance and if so, she’ll be in it a long way.

EXILE technically finished last in her first jump out on Feb 24 but it was only a field of 4 and she was given a very easy time, just cruising and dropping back late. She was given more of a hit out in Heat 13 on Mar 24 where the leaders got going in the early stages and she was given a push to keep up, closing very nicely late once she got into her work to get through the middle and win over the concluding stages. She couldn’t get that maiden out of the way in her first prep but looks to be in good order so worth monitoring first up.


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