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Weekly Review - January 9 to January 16

CRANBOURNE - 9 January 2023

WATCHLIST

Not sure what happened in BELLE SPECIALE’s first jump out when last but she was quietly ridden when midfield in a Dec 28 jump out and then for much of the jump out until the concluding stages, matching motors with Jacquinot in Heat 4 on Jan 9 with the recent maiden winner Shanghai Venture closing into 3rd, which is super jump out form. The 3yo Bel Esprit filly has the three 800m jump outs as a good base ahead of her debut and if she can show the speed that she showed alongside Jacquinot, she’ll be going well in most maidens.


Visually, this was some debut jump out by AKICITA. The 3yo son of Grunt showed a lovely set of heels in the small field of Heat 6 on Jan 9 as he sat outside the leader and then kicked away to put a big gap on them late, all under very minimal jockey pressure. He’s out of the mare Little Indian, a $300k purchase and a half-sister to the Group 2 placed and stablemate Typhoon Titmus that they paid $200k for year prior. He looks a nice moving colt and one we want to follow.


We mentioned THEORUM after finishing 2nd in a Dec 28 jump out and he went one better in Heat 7 on Jan 9, winning ahead of a few that move well enough. Enver has been very patient with this 4yo gelded son of Nostradamus, this being his fourth set of two jump outs so he’s now had the 8x jump outs ahead of his debut, four of them since October this prep. He’ll be certainly well educated for his debut and should be competitive.

OUR GODDESS is another to follow from Heat 7 on Jan 9, leading throughout and only just being overran late by Theorum to finish a close 2nd. This was her first jump out back following 3x 2nd’s in her debut prep where he’s had some solid form come from those races, finishing behind Kasparov (since 4th BM58), C'est Magique (since 2nd in Group 1 Coolmore) and Our Redente (since won 3 of next 4 races). Following this 4yo mare into another jump out before she resumes.


MARINE ONE was a class above in Heat 8 on Jan 9 but the race-fit THERE THERE was solid in keeping up with the Group 2 winner. She’s started $2.25-$2.80 in all 3x career starts for 0x wins and 3x placings, but should have a maiden win in her if she finds the right race.


RUE DE RIVOLI closed quite well from the rear of the field to finish 2nd in Heat 13 on Jan 9 when she was pushed out. A 3yo daughter of Highland Reel, she has some nice closing speed that is wroth keeping an eye on but she may get out over further.


FLEMINGTON (WERRIBEE) - 9 January 2023

PAKENHAM - 10 January 2023

WATCHLIST

MILEVA has a first up record of 5: 4-0-1, so she clearly flies fresh and on the back of her win in Heat 4 on Jan 10 when holding off a ridden out Western Empire and Daytona Bay, there is no reason she cant build on that very impressive first up record.


DELICATE BABE was scratched from Sandown back at the start of December when she was unable to load and as a result is required to compete in two consecutive trials, one of which being an Official Trial, to the satisfaction of Stewards before being permitted to race again. She won Heat 7 on Jan 10 and will be required to compete in an official trial before then resuming.


SNOW FLACON was a smart winner of Heat 9 on Jan 10, her first jump out this preparation. She’s had the two career preparations including one start as a 2YO when shin sore and then the one start last prep when lame, so clear excuses that explain the poor performances despite starting $3.70 and $5 in those runs. Keep an eye on her for another JO before resuming.


STAWELL - 10 January 2023

WATCHLIST

ROLL ON BIG RED was solid in a Nov 7 jump out over 850m, a distance well short of his best considering his next two jump outs being on Dec 20 over 1200m where he led but was overran late by Rudimental and his work in Heat 1 on Jan 10 over the 1300m where he again led but this time was way too good, albeit against other un-raced gallopers. The 4yo gelding son of Shooting To Win has a friendly racing pattern and has been moving well enough at the jump outs to be going well on debut.


TATURA - 11 January 2023

WATCHLIST

In her third jump out, CHENZEL bolted in over the 1100m in Heat 2 on Jan 11. The 4yo mare went straight to the front, leading throughout before stealing a margin around the bend and then putting a further 6L gap on 2nd place, all with ease. She was a very close 3rd in a Dec 21 jump out after also leading throughout, dissimilar to her middle jump out on Jan 4 where she was pushed out late to finish 2nd. A $300k Snitzel mare who was previously with Ciaron Maher in Sydney before coming down to Vic with Lindsay Park, she looks in good order ahead of her return.


A $160k purchase by John Foote, HARDERTHANHELOOKS closed off superbly under light riding into 3rd in Heat 15 on Jan 11 after settling midfield, a good ~5L off the leader in the early stages. He’s a half-brother to Shove Over, who is a solid galloper himself and this son of Toronado looks have some talent as well.


INDEPENDENT goes well. He was 4th on debut before winning a maiden and then running twice at Sandown where he finished 2nd in a BM70 to Fire (at $41) and then 2nd in a CL1 to Niccolite (at $15), which is very handy debut prep form. Given more time, the 4yo gelding returned for a very quiet Dec 13 trial before his work in Heat 18 on Jan 11 where he stalked the leader throughout before then just cruising over the top to win under no pressure at all. He goes alright and because he’s with Linc Sullivan and not one of the big stables, he’s always been a big price so we want to keep a very close eye on him first up into a CL1 or BM64.


MORNINGTON - 12 January 2023

There is no doubt that VON HAUKE is a talented colt. We mentioned him following his Jan 4 win where he closed superbly over the top of the leaders. In Heat 1 on Jan 11 he took a similar approach, dropping back to a clear last in the early stages before peeling out very wide and closing off really strongly down the outside under minimal pressure while alongside gallopers who are all better than maiden grade. A son of Savabeel, look for Cliff Brown to place this colt really nicely on debut and he will be running really well.


FLEMINGTON - 13 January 2023

WATCHLIST

WHITE BEAR really caught the eye in the blue/white hooped silks in Heat 5 on Jan 13, hard held throughout in a lovely first jump out his preparation. A 3yo gelded son of Shamexpress, he’s had two previous preps of two jump outs as he now returns for his third career prep and moved nicely here.

 
RANDWICK - 9 January 2023

ROSEHILL - 12 January 2023

WATCHLIST

Both of EMANCIPIST’s trials have seen him settle last and run on, making up good ground on both occasions to finish midfield. On Dec 29 he dropped back to a clear last where he was hard held and forced to stay put until the straight when he finally got extra reign and clear galloping room, closing off really well and doing his best work past the line as he was even with the leaders/winners. His work in Trial 11 on Jan 12 was much of the same, restrained to settle a clear last again, some 10L off the leaders. His closing speed was super, finishing only 1.7L off the winner and bolting to and through the line. He likely gets back and runs on, so his racing pattern won’t be friendly but these were super trials and he’s worth following first up.


LUCKY STRONG obviously won Trial 12 by 5.46L and did so in quick time, so want to follow him into another trial before debuting.


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