Race Preview - Darley Maribyrnong Trial Stakes


PREVIEW


GENERAL BEAU was a super impressive winner at Flemington, winning by an easy 2.25L and largely untouched. FINANCE TYCOON and GUMMY BEAR (who has been gelded since that run) come out of the same race but they look very unlikely to turn the tables here.


Interestingly enough, Craig Williams was booked to ride UMGAWA last week in that 2yo race but the colt was scratched and Craig now jumps on board EXCELA BELLA instead for this race. That filly comes down from NSW after a nice trial win.


INGRATIATING first jump out was behind GENERAL BEAU and he was no match. His second jump out was behind UMGAWA where he finished a couple lengths behind over the 800m.


NAPLES jumped out on the same day as CLOUDY and ENUFF ALREADY with her heat almost one second quicker. She was well held in a field of four, however, none of her jump out rivals accepted to run in this race despite being visually ready to go?


VINLAGO had I AM WAR covered easily in their Sep 21 jump out over 600m. Vinlago was the quicker of the two 2yo heats on the day. The other 2yo heat winner (Greg Eurell Un-named) looked good winning the heat, but VINLAGO beat him comfortably on September 14.


OUR NUMBERS

  1. #1 GENERAL BEAU - M Ellerton & S Zahra

  2. #10 EXCELA BELLA - G Waterhouse & A Bott

  3. #8 VINLAGO - R Griffiths

  4. #9 CLOUDY (10) - J Cummings

It's hard not to be with GENERAL BEAU again after what he did on debut. He did everything right and was the ultimate professional, handling the straight perfectly. He will only come on from that, has the race experience edge over the debutants and was clearly better than the other two runner's that come from the race. He'll be hard to beat.


POST SCR - we had FAKE LOVE and NAPLES as the clear two dangers to GENERAL BEAU, both are now scratched and it just looks like GENERAL BEAU's race to lose. The next three behind all look like filling minor placings now.


We will respect the sole-NSW horse in the race with Craig Williams jumping on board. While the jump out wasn't special, it was a nice bit of work and we have to respect Waterhouse/Bott when they come down to NSW.


VINLAGO was our 5th pick, he now comes in as the 3rd selection after a very nice Cranbourne jump out. The big query is that experience up the straight as it is a lot different to the tight Cranbourne track. CLOUDY in as the fourth selection, think he is the pick of the Cummings runners and will have a ton of improvement to come after one nice jump out win up the straight.


VERDICT


Our initial play was in the early markets on TAB with GENERAL BEAU at $2.70 and then FAKE LOVE and NAPLES at $8.50. We had a main play of 6 units on GENERAL BEAU to win with savers of 1 unit on FAKE LOVE and 1 unit on NAPLES, taking advantage of the bonus back offers for finished 2nd and 3rd.


Happy to just have those units on GENERAL BEAU now, with that $2.70 around the $2.15-$2.30 mark depending on which bookie you used. He is the clear one to beat and we've got a good price here.

If you haven't backed yet, think he should start a $1.80 favourite - anything around $2 is great. Max bet.


RESULT / REVIEW


INGRATIATING (1st at $12 SP) certainly slipped under our radar, and it seems the radar of many after GENERAL BEAU was heavily backed to jump at a $1.50 SP. Unfortunately, it wasn't to be with our top selection finishing 2nd by 1L, but putting a massive 4.5L gap on 3rd and an even bigger 6.25L on 4th. These two clearly had a bit on this field.



#1 GENERAL BEAU (6) - M Ellerton & S Zahra | J Kah

2yo Bay Colt by BRAZEN BEAU from PHOSPHORESCENCE

D.O.B: 03-Sep-2018


Jump Out on 4 September @ Flemington | 800m 49.25s (2nd)

Jump Out on 15 September @ Flemington | 800m 47.92s (1st)

#2 FINANCE TYCOON (11) - T Dabernig & B Hayes | L Nolen

2yo Brown Colt by WRITTEN TYCOON from DAROOK PARK

D.O.B: 10-Sep-2018

2020 MM Gold Coast Yearling Sale - $150k purchase


Jump Out on 4 September @ Flemington | 800m 49.25s (1st)

Jump Out on 15 September @ Flemington | 800m 47.28s (1st)

#3 GUMMY BEAR (2) - T Hughes | J Benbow

2yo Brown or Black Gelding by STATUE OF LIBERTY (USA) from CLOUD JUMPER

D.O.B: 28-Sep-2018


Jump Out on 2 September @ Pakenham | 800m in 46.64s (6th)

Jump Out on 16 September @ Pakenham | 600m 35.86s (1st)

#4 ENUFF ALREADY (7) - L Kavanagh | D Lane

2yo Bay Colt by RICH ENUFF from COUNTESS CARMINA

D.O.B: 26-Aug-2018


Jump Out on 25 September @ Flemington | 800m 48.02s (2nd)


#5 I AM WAR (5) - T Andrews | L German

2yo Bay Colt by WARHORSE (NZ) from ABAHLALI

D.O.B: 30-Sep-2018


Jump Out on 31 August @ Cranbourne | 600m 36.62s (4th)

Jump Out on 21 September @ Cranbourne | 600m 34.55s (2nd)


#6 INGRATIATING (1) - J Cummings | D Oliver

2yo Brown Colt by FROSTED (USA) from OBSEQUIOUS

D.O.B: 06-Oct-2018


Jump Out on 15 September @ Flemington | 800m 47.92s (2nd)

Jump Out on 25 September @ Flemington | 800m 48.05s (4th)


#7 UMGAWA (3) - L & T Corstens | J McNeil

2yo Bay Colt by SHAMUS AWARD from EXPRESS CENTRAL

D.O.B: 18-Aug-2018


Jump Out on 15 September @ Flemington | 800m 47.28s

#8 VINLAGO (9) - R Griffiths | L Currie

2yo Bay Colt by I AM INVINCIBLE from LUCKY LAGO

D.O.B: 03-Oct-2018

MM Adelaide $50,000 V: Phoenix Broodmare Farm B: Griffiths Racing/Peter Ford T'breds (FBAA)


Jump Out on 14 September @ Cranbourne | 600m 36.24s (2nd)

Jump Out on 21 September @ Cranbourne | 600m 34.55s (1st)


#9 CLOUDY (10) - J Cummings | J Allen

2yo Chestnut Filly by FROSTED (USA) from APPLEGATE

D.O.B: 31-Oct-2018


Jump Out on 25 September @ Flemington | 800m 48.02s (1st)


#10 EXCELA BELLA (8) - G Waterhouse & A Bott | C Williams

2yo Bay Filly by EXCEED AND EXCEL from CARAVELI

D.O.B: 08-Aug-2018

MM Gold Coast $250,000 V: Rosemont Stud B: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Racing


No Victorian Jump Outs.


Jump Out on 21 September @ Randwick Kensington | 845m 50.42s (1st) --> watch here


#11 FAKE LOVE (4) - C Maher & D Eustace | M Zahra

2yo Bay Filly by I AM INVINCIBLE from ANATINA

D.O.B: 31-Jul-2018

MM Gold Coast V: Valiant Stud B: Psd $425000 Res $450000

MM National Weanling $380,000 V: Segenhoe Stud Australia Pty Ltd Scone NSW B: Oakmont


Jump Out on 10 September @ Caulfield | 600m 36.08s (1st) --> watch here


Jump Out on 29 September @ Caulfield | 800m 48.84s (2nd) --> watch here


#12 NAPLES (12) - J Cummings | W Pike

2yo Brown Filly by STREET BOSS (USA) from ITALY

D.O.B: 10-Sep-2018


Jump Out on 25 September @ Flemington | 800m 47.06s (3rd)


TIP