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BlackBook - Wednesday, 5 April 2023

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Wednesday, 5 April 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - those that we are betting / playing are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and race thoughts, while those we aren't betting / playing are included in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" and are worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.

 
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST

Ballarat, Race 2

#8 FERLAZZO (2) - M Price & M Kent Jnr

BlackBook jump out comments:

FERLAZZO still does a bit wrong but certainly think she has a maiden win in her. She held off a fast finishing Theycallmebruce (subsequent 2L MDN winner) in her first jump out over 800m on Mar 9 before stepping up to 1100m in Heat 10 on Mar 22 where she went forward from the inside draw but did look to tire late as she was overran over the concluding stages to finish 2nd. She can run a nice race first up.

Last Updated: 7:11am AEDT on Wednesday, 5th April 2023.

 
STAKING

We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.


Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".


This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.

If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.

If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.

If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.


We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):

BetSmart
.pdf
Download PDF • 920KB

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