BlackBook - Wednesday, 2 February 2022

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Wednesday, 2 February 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.


MURRAY BRIDGE - Race 1

OTHER

#9 EVENTUALLY took the shortest way home along the rail in Heat 9 on Jan 18 and won by a comfortable margin under a hold but she did so in slow time for the morning. Only the first jump out this prep for this 3yo Helmet filly, so one for the watch list.


SANDOWN - Race 4

OTHER

#3 SAVVY SOVEREIGN looks to have return in really nice order. He was hard held in a Jan 5 jump out when 5th, but there was no holding him back in Heat 2 on Jan 18 as he led them up and kicked away to record a several length victory with ease ahead of some talented horses in Ayahuasca in 2nd and Untouchable Ed in 3rd. Looking for a BM58 first up, hopefully.

 
OUR THOUGHTS

Murray Bridge, Race 1 - EVENTUALLY

We won't be diving into the short odds for this filly on debut as she's in SA instead of VIC and she's only had the one jump out ahead of her debut this preparation, so a slight query on how forward she is but it was nice one and SA racing is generally a bit weaker than VIC.

On ratings though, this looks winnable and Barend Vorster for T & C McEvoy is generally a winning combination.


OUR BETS

As a rule of thumb, our new 'units' system will be based on the following staking plan:

  • 0.25 units is a speculation ('spec') bet at a bigger price.

  • 0.50 units to 1.00 units is a low confidence bet.

  • 1.00 units to 2.00 units is a medium confidence bet.

  • 2.00 units to 3.00 units is a high confidence bet.

  • 5.00 units is the maximum bet and is a 'special', or a very high confidence bet.

In addition, we'll put more of an emphasis on our highlighted runners (medium to high confidence bets) and lower bets on our 'Other' runners (low confidence). This is because the highlighted runners are striking at much more favourable 31% WIN & 62% PLC since August 2020 for 600+ runners.


We recommend you have a TAB, TopSport (click here), Bet365 and Betfair account.


No plays. Total outlay is 0.00 units.


Overall (since 21 Oct, 2021): +19.39 units at Recommend Price | +56.57 units at Betfair SP

When you sign up, select 'JumpOuts' for how you Heard About them and "JUMPOUTS" in the Promo Code.


PURCHASE - JUSTIFY x NOW NOW FILLY

Some exciting news for us - we have purchase a % of this Justify filly from the Magic Millions 2022 sales. She was a $400k buy and will be trained by Ciaron Maher & Dave Eustace while she is majority owned by Coolmore... so very exciting!


She is eligible for Coolmore's Ferrari bonus (read here) and is a half-sister to Group 2&3 winner and Group 1 runner-up in FIESTA, who also earnt over $1.5m in prize money. Here's hoping this filly is just as fast - she certainly has the looks!


We will be posting the trainer updates to our members as we receive them so that you get a taste of ownership without having to pay any of the purchase price or ongoing trainer fees - some extra excitement for our members for no cost. She'll head off to the breakers and hopefully she's gets to the race track as a 2YO! She is still at least 6 months away from even being eligible to race so stay tuned...