Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Tuesday, 7 June 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.
PAKENHAM - Race 7
#3 MIMOSAS hasn’t quite been able live up to the hype of her debut win at Flemington, which was over a year ago now but her win in Heat 16 on May 18 in the second fastest 750m time of the morning certainly suggested she has more wins in store. She’s contested some tough races, but being only 65-rated it’ll certainly be worth following her hopefully into a BM64 to get some confidence before going back in town.
Confidence - Comments
Pakenham, Race 7
#3 MIMOSAS (11) - C Douglas
Jamie Kah heading to Pakenham for only the one ride - barrier 11 of 11 is the query, but think he's a nice winning chance on the back of a super jump out - E/W bet.
Last Updated: 8:15am on Tuesday, 6th June 2022.
Pakenham, Race 4
On a personal note, I have my first runner as an owner in Race 4 at Pakenham, by the name of MR ROUQUIN. He was purchased from NZ on the back of a 1000m trial win back in January earlier this year. He's had the 2x 800m jump outs at Flemington on Apr 29 (behind Ma And Pa and alongside Spicy who won at Geelong on Sunday) and May 6 when 4th in both, followed by a 1100m trial at Traralgon on May 18 where he finished 2nd to Luna Chara (since 3rd in a BM58) after doing it tough on speed and out wide with no cover. The 1100m here on debut is short of his preferred trip as there's no doubt that he'll get out over further (1600m+), but he's ready to go first up and this looks a winnable race - I'm very glad we don't have any BlackBook runners against him!!
Would love a winning debut from him (stable think he's a nice E/W bet at $14/$4) - cheers, Braeden.
Results (Aug '20 to Today):
664x runners | 199x winners (30%) & 209x placings (61%)
Ave Betfair SP | $8.32 WIN $2.31 PLC
826x runners | 185x winners (22%) & 226x placings (50%)
Ave Betfair SP | $13.07 WIN $3.12 PLC
Recommend having a read of the below from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):
When you sign up, select 'JumpOuts' for how you Heard About them and "JUMPOUTS" in the Promo Code.
Confidence levels will be as follows:
Low = not keen to bet.
Low/Medium = can win but not confident - small bet (if any at all).
Medium = one of the main winning chances - can bet.
High = very good winning chance - keen to have a bet.
Special = very keen, should be winning.
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