BlackBook - Tuesday, 7 December 2021

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Tuesday, 7 December 2021. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.


HAMILTON - Race 2

OTHER

Slick all the way win by #7 JENNI OF AVALON in Heat 9 on Nov 1 in her return, resuming for her third stable now as a 4yo mare. Want to see another jump out before diving into anything with her.

 
OUR THOUGHTS

Hamilton, Race 2 - JENNI OF AVALON

Her first jump out on Nov 1 was super where Sister Vianney (2nd) has since ran 5th and Foxy Gal (3rd) has since ran 2nd at $21. The second jump out was not good, she showed nothing in the straight and was a good 3-4L off the second last horse where she finished last - will note that this was on the synthetic, so she may just not like the synthetic tracks.


Barrier 1 with Dean Yendall on board are all positives. She resumes at 1100m having contested runs over 1500m x2 and 1400m in her lightly raced career so far - this is her third stable now.


No bets - don't have enough trust with the one good and one bad jump out, especially at the price. Happy to let her go around with no bets and see how she goes. She might be one to follow second up as she goes up in trip (if she runs well without winning).


OUR BETS

As a rule of thumb, our new 'units' system will be based on the following staking plan:

  • 0.25 units is a speculation ('spec') bet at a bigger price.

  • 0.50 units to 1.00 units is a low confidence bet.

  • 1.00 units to 2.00 units is a medium confidence bet.

  • 2.50 units to 3.00 units is a high confidence bet.

  • 5.00 units is the maximum bet and is a 'special', or a very high confidence bet.

No bets. Total outlay is 0.00 units.


Overall: +10.91 units (since 21 Oct, 2021).


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