Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Tuesday, 21 February 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - these are are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and thoughts. We have also included some runners in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" that are those worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST
Gosford, Race 1
#1 CHARTWELL (3) - A Neasham
BlackBook trial comments:
This was super by CHARTWELL in Trial 10 on Feb 8. He was away well but was out wide and as a result, Alysha Collett elected to go back and get some cover before then getting him to the middle of the track in the straight where he closed superbly over the top late to win and win nicely in the fastest time of the morning. He had a trial on Jan 24 where he missed the start and settled in behind the speed on the rail, just cruising to the line to finish a close 3rd. Happy to ignore his debut as a 2yo on a Heavy8 track at Canterbury that he was spelled immediately following, he looks to have come back in good order now as a 3yo for his second prep.
Last Updated: 8:26am AEDT on Tuesday, 21st February 2023.
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):