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BlackBook - Tuesday, 14 February 2023

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Tuesday, 14 February 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - these are are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and thoughts. We have also included some runners in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" that are those worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.


BENALLA - Race 1

OTHER

#9 IMELDA MAYHEM is a very speedy filly. Lindsay Park acquire her on the back of three separate NZ trials, the first a 2nd placing on Apr 12 before then bolting in on Jun 28 and Oct 18 by massive margins. She picked up where she left off in her first Australian jump out, bolting in Heat 4 on Feb 2 in the second fastest time of the morning that was way above average. She went straight to the front and was way too quick, so expect the same on debut. A filly to watch.

 
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - TIPS SUMMARY

Runners

Confidence - Comments

Benalla, Race 1

#9 IMELDA MAYHEM (7) - B & JD Hayes

High.

She was scratched from a race at Bendigo on Sunday in order to run here and she looks like she'll be awfully hard to beat here.

Think she goes forward from barrier 7 and it'll take something special to catch her.


Happy to take on PASHEONA, think she had every chance and don't think that Moe race was that good, form wise. The main danger looks to be TRUST ACCOUNT, but drawn wide and will be spotting her a big start.


If you're not on from the early markets, we're still happy to bet at $2+ - think she starts closer to $1.80 and wins.

Last Updated: 8:16am AEDT on Tuesday, 14th February 2023.

 
STAKING

We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.


Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".


This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.

If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.

If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.

If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.


We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):

BetSmart
.pdf
Download PDF • 920KB

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