BlackBook - Tuesday, 12 April 2022

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Tuesday, 12 April 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.


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BENALLA - Race 7

OTHER

We’re certainly monitoring #5 KOOLED for the new stable. The 3yo grey had 2x trials in NSW on Soft7 tracks where he really struggled to settle and finished a distant last in both trials. He’s made his way down to VIC where he was slowly away in Heat 7 on Apr 5 (yellow) but very quickly mustered speed to take up the lead and won quite comfortably in the end. He was 6th in his last start to the likes of Extreme Flight, Prix De Turn and Linas Legend so he’s got some super form and he’s now had the ultimate gear change of becoming a gelded, so he’s a must watch especially if he resumes in a mid week country race in VIC.

 
OUR THOUGHTS

Benalla, Race 7 - KOOLED

He clearly has the form and ratings to win this. His 4x career runs have rated -2.1, -2.7, +2.5 and -2.4, all of which would be the best last start rating of this race. Last preparation he won a MDN first up before running 6th at Sandown behind Extreme Flight, Prix De Turn, Linas Legend, all of whom would be raging favourites in a race like this.


This preparation, he had the 2x official trials in NSW before coming down to VIC and winning a Wangaratta jump out, but he did finish last in both of those NSW trials. He gets a stack of gear changes here, including the ultimate gear change of becoming a gelding as he changes from the Hawkes yard to Kristen Buchanan. The apprentice Hannah Edgley takes the rides and takes 2kg off the back - she's going at 28% from her L50 rides...


We were considering playing KOOLED but those 2x Soft track NSW trials have really dampened the confidence and at the price of ~$2.50 on a Soft track at Benalla, we can let him go around without us.


Regardless, he should be going very close to winning this. We'll monitor the price as if he drifts dramatically, we might have a small low confidence play but treading carefully (likely no play).


OUR BETS

No plays. Total outlay is 0.00 units.


Overall (since 21 Oct, 2021): +11.01 units at Recommend Price | +44.53 units at Betfair SP

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