BlackBook - Thursday, 6 January 2022

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Thursday, 6 January 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.


GEELONG - Race 3

OTHER

It was the third quickest time of the morning, so though the un-raced #2 EL CORDOBES did an alright job to stick on and finish 2nd in Heat 4 on Nov 19 in amongst some good company such as Sessions Road, Deep Dive and Dirty Deeds. He was given a few slaps on the neck to pick up, but for his first jump out back as a 3yo, he looked to stick on well. One to keep in mind.

 
OUR THOUGHTS

Geelong, Race 1

EROS was the pick of the 2YO's for us, with Jamie Kah heading to Geelong for the one ride as well. His two jump outs are below, finishing 2nd on Dec 15 before winning on Dec 30. He looks the one to beat.


Geelong, Race 3

EL CORDOBES first jump out in November was good, but the latest in December weren't anything too flash and have dampened the confidence. Interesting to see Liam Riordan riding as well instead of some of the other riders that Danny O'Brien usually uses.


He can run well here on debut but we're happy to let him go around, especially at the price (no value).


OUR BETS

As a rule of thumb, our new 'units' system will be based on the following staking plan:

  • 0.25 units is a speculation ('spec') bet at a bigger price.

  • 0.50 units to 1.00 units is a low confidence bet.

  • 1.00 units to 2.00 units is a medium confidence bet.

  • 2.00 units to 3.00 units is a high confidence bet.

  • 5.00 units is the maximum bet and is a 'special', or a very high confidence bet.

No bets. Total outlay is 0.00 units.


Overall (since 21 Oct, 2021): +26.93 units at Recommend Price | +58.10 units at Betfair SP


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