Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Thursday, 30 June 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.
BENDIGO - Race 1
We had a note to monitor #9 LOVETTA for another jump out after a quietly ridden May 27 jump out when 3rd and this is exactly what we wanted to see, the 2yo filly bolting in Heat 10 on Jun 10. She sat midfield but wide without cover throughout with her most impressive work being over the concluding stages, exploding down the middle of the track when asked for an effort to win impressively. The daughter of Lonhro displayed a lovely turn of foot and connections will certainly be hoping she shows this sort of talent at the races, being a $550k Inglis Australian Easter Yearling purchase. Big watch on this filly.
The heat is listed as being ran in 57.61s, but based on our hand-timing of the heat we got ~53s, which would have her in the top half of times (not the clear slowest of the day). #18 AIOFE bolted in Heat 11 on Jun 14 by 5L in one of the more impressive trials of the morning. She was terrible on debut when 11th of 12 but that was in the Blue Diamond Preview for Fillies and she’s now been given more time, so a country maiden would be perfect for her first up this prep.
BENDIGO - Race 8
He’s a 6yo with 18x starts, so he had an experience edge on the rest of the field but #15 LAST HOPE just cruised to the line to win Heat 16 on Jun 14. Now with Rhys Archard, the 6yo gelding was just doing it very easy out in front and looked to move really well for his first jump out for the new stable following a spell. He’s only got the 2x career wins, but first up he’s 3: 1-1-1 and he doesn’t mind it wet, with a soft record of 5:2-1-0 and a heavy record of 4:0-3-0. Big watch in a country BM58, but likely another jump out prior to really set him up.
*won a Kerang jump out on Jun 22.
Confidence - Comments
Bendigo, Race 1
#9 LOVETTA (10) - A & S Freedman
She's drawn wide-ish, but that should suit as she ran on in her JO's, the latest was super where she ran straight past Field Of Praise who then won by 1.5L on debut. Query is the wet track but if she handles it fine, she'll be hard to beat here.
#18 AOIFE (5) - B Stanley
Hard to back against Lovetta, so will be using this filly as the saver bet to breakeven - looks like we'll get a bigger price closer to the jump though.
Bendigo, Race 8
#15 LAST HOPE (6) - R Archard
The 2x JO wins were very nice, he's got a good first up record where he's never missed a place (3: 1-1-1), goes well on wet tracks (9: 2-4-0) and has won at 1100m before (record of 2: 1-0-1) - he's a definite bet here at a nice price of $31 on TopSport.
Last Updated: 8:25am on Thursday, 30th June 2022.
Results (Aug '20 to Today):
666x runners | 199x winners (30%) & 211x placings (62%)
Ave Betfair SP | $8.30 WIN $2.31 PLC
867x runners | 193x winners (22%) & 237x placings (50%)
Ave Betfair SP | $13.04 WIN $3.13 PLC
Recommend having a read of the below from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):
When you sign up, select 'JumpOuts' for how you Heard About them and "JUMPOUTS" in the Promo Code.
Confidence levels will be as follows:
Low = not keen to bet.
Low/Medium = can win but not confident - small bet (if any at all).
Medium = one of the main winning chances - can bet.
High = very good winning chance - keen to have a bet.
Special = very keen, should be winning.
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