BlackBook - Sunday, 30 July 2023
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Sunday, 30 July 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - those that we are betting are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and race thoughts, while those we aren't betting are included in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" and are worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
GEELONG - Race 2
POISON CHALICE looks in good order ahead of his return to the races and has now had plenty of jump outs to have him ready to go. He had a pair of jump outs in April that culminated with a win ahead of Starry Legend who went on to run 2nd in a LR race and win a BM100 while this gelding had a let up. He returned with a nice win on Jun 20 when asked to close off when sitting off the speed, backing it up in Heat 2 on Jul 3 in similar fashion as he cruised midfield and then closed off well late to make ground on the leading and race fit Field Of Flutes. He ran in a Group 2 at just his second start so the stable clearly have an opinion of him and he looks in good order ahead of his return.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - TIPS SUMMARY
Runners | Confidence - Comments |
Geelong, Race 2 | ​ |
#5 POISON CHALICE (6) - P Preusker | Medium. He's been scratched from a stack of races over the last couple weeks, but finally pops up here with a nice draw. He has nice form from his debut prep, has been gelded since then and jumped out super, so we can't really ask for much more and as a result, we're keen to be with him here. |
Last Updated: 8:46am AEDT on Sunday, 30th July 2023.
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STAKING
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):
BetSmart
.pdf
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