Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Sunday, 25 June 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - those that we are betting / playing are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and race thoughts, while those we aren't betting / playing are included in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" and are worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
WERRIBEE - Race 1
ARCHO NACHO was entered in at Ballarat the other day but was scratched and didn’t take his place, heading back to the jump outs over 700m in Heat 9 on Apr 12. Similar to his jump outs on Mar 15 and Mar 29, he was super again as he travelled on speed out wide throughout and closed really nicely down the outside fence to win well in nice time for the morning. He’s had the three jump outs now and is ready to make his debut where we’d expect him to be competitive in most races he’ll head to.
Despite technically finishing 2nd in Heat 4 on Jun 13, ARCHO NACHO was the takeaway from this heat having been heavily restrained in the early stages in order to go to the back of the field and then once he was allowed free reign to run, he really powered late, to and through the line. He had three jump outs across March/April but didn’t make it to the track as he was given a 9-week let up, returning here in a very nice bit of work.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - TIPS SUMMARY
Confidence - Comments
Werribee, Race 1
#1 ARCHO NACHO (9) - M Laurie
Thought his jump outs were superb on both dry and wet tracks where he really can't do much more.
He's drawn a touch wide but there is only the one turn here so it shouldn't be too bad and it's always good to see Ben Allen on board when he has minimal rides at the meeting.
Think he can run well and thought the ~$3 was the right price to get involved.
Last Updated: 9:21am AEDT on Sunday, 25th June 2023.
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):