BlackBook - Sunday, 17 July 2022
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Sunday, 17 July 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.
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MURTOA - Race 2
#6 PORT LOUIS is certainly back in good order as a gelding. He went one better than his 2nd in a jump out on Jun 22, winning Heat 13 on Jul 7 over the 900m again where he was clearly a class above. As mentioned after his first jump out, he’s 76-rated with very good form on the board so if he heads to a maiden first up to get it out of the way, it’ll be very interesting to see if the gelding finally switches him on. Expect him to be short.
Have to mention that potentially Victoria’s best maiden in #6 PORT LOUIS is back in work, finishing 2nd in Heat 5 on Jun 22 where he just cruised to the line. Couldn’t really take much from this but he has had the ultimate gear change and is now a gelding. He’s 76-rated with very good form on the board so if he heads to a maiden first up to get it out of the way, it’ll be very interesting to see if the gelding finally switches him on.
Confidence - Comments
Murtoa, Race 2
#6 PORT LOUIS (3) - C Maher & D Eustace
He should simply just win this - it looks like they've taken him here for an easy kill to finally get that win on the board and then he'll be back in town over the spring, this time as a gelding.
The issue is obviously his price at ~$1.30. It's a personal preference on if you back or not (probably wait till the jump to try get a drift), but we'd be very very surprised if he lost this.
Last Updated: 10:00am on Sunday, 17th July 2022.
Results (Aug '20 to Today):
670x runners | 202x winners (30%) & 211x placings (62%)
Ave Betfair SP | $8.27 WIN $2.30 PLC
895x runners | 200x winners (22%) & 245x placings (50%)
Ave Betfair SP | $12.97 WIN $3.13 PLC
Recommend having a read of the below from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):
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