BlackBook - Sunday, 12 June 2022
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Sunday, 12 June 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.
CLICK HERE TO SEE OUR BLACKBOOK SUMMARY
CASTERTON - Race 4
Big watch on #10 RICH PARIS. She was extremely hard held over 800m on May 23, which was a much different jump out to her work in Heat 5 on June 1 as she led and was pushed out in the straight, shown the whip and all. She was no match for the imported Lindsey Smith 2yo No Drama (a previous winner in NZ) but did it nicely enough ahead of Timson and Garbo. Can run a race on debut.
SWAN HILL - Race 9
#12 PHILOSOPHERS STONE looks to have returned in nice order, winning Heat 9 on May 10 in good fashion. The lightly raced 3yo gelding led along the rail and was very hard held throughout, just cruising to the line without ever being asked for an effort. He took out the 1000m in 59.16s, which was above the days average of 59.60s. He resumed gelded last prep for only the 1x run where he won well when leading, gapping 3rd by 5.5L and he looks like one that can go on with it.
*has since won a jump out on May 24 over 1000m.
Confidence - Comments
Casterton, Race 4
#10 RICH PARIS (1) - A Chambers
Favourite is going to be hard to beat, being The Gauva who's third up at peak fitness with form around city gallopers (but he is a 2YO). She's the best of the rest, so if you're going to back her, save on The Gauva.
Swan Hill, Race 9
#12 PHILOSOPHERS STONE (1) - T & C McEvoy
Low/Medium - maps to get a nice lead from barrier 1 and expect him to be in it a long way - nice E/W chance.
Last Updated: 9:42am on Sunday, 11th June 2022.
Results (Aug '20 to Today):
664x runners | 199x winners (30%) & 209x placings (61%)
Ave Betfair SP | $8.32 WIN $2.31 PLC
834x runners | 187x winners (22%) & 228x placings (50%)
Ave Betfair SP | $13.06 WIN $3.12 PLC
Recommend having a read of the below from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):
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Confidence levels will be as follows:
Low = not keen to bet.
Low/Medium = can win but not confident - small bet (if any at all).
Medium = one of the main winning chances - can bet.
High = very good winning chance - keen to have a bet.
Special = very keen, should be winning.
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