Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Saturday, 9 July 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.
RANDWICK - Race 1
OTHER
Would love to see #17 ONE DESTINY head to a maiden first up this preparation. He’s contested city races (G3, G2, HCP & LR) in four of his five career runs, the other was in a maiden when 2nd to Okami Miss. He’s been given time, returning in Heat 8 on Jun 24 in a very slick performance, winning by 4L in 47.06s which was the fastest time of the morning and is the third fastest time overall for jump outs between 801m and 816m. This was only the geldings first trial back, so hoping to see another bit of work prior to resuming but he’s one we need to monitor.
RANDWICK - Race 7
OTHER
#13 SIR KALAHAD sprinted away from the talented and speedy Ancestry with ease to win Heat 13 on Jul 4. He’s been quite disappointing this prep, beating home only the 1x runner in his two runs at BM84 level so far. He’s now 78-rated and likely needs to head to a 1200m BM78 third up now to be a betting proposition. He’s a bit hard to trust, but if we get a nice price on the back of this trial, he’s worth a spec.
CAULFIELD - Race 6
OTHER
Super keen to see the return of #14 MRS CHRISSIE, a very impressive 4.5L winner on debut for us. The 3yo filly was 2nd in Heat 2 on Jun 29 behind the 84-rated Zipping Boy while ahead of Bless Her and Felicia in a nice return performance over 900m where they clocked the fastest time of the morning. Always had a nice opinion of her.
BLACKBOOK SUMMARY
Runners | Confidence - Comments |
Randwick, Race 1 | |
#17 ONE DESTINY (10) - G Nickson | Low. Resumes first up in town again with barrier 10 of 10 on a Heavy track and on the back of only 1x trial. Not keen but she is $81 (and likely longer by the time they jump), so might be worth a couple $ just in case. |
Randwick, Race 7 | |
#13 SIR KALAHAD (8) - G Bedggood | Low/Medium. Suspect they've gone to Sydney to find a Heavy track (where he's 8: 3-1-1). This trial was on a H8 and it was super, but he's in a BM88 with a very light 54kg. Looks a smaller E/W chance. |
Caulfield, Race 2 | |
#1 ZIPPING BOY (5) - J Hunter | Low/Medium. He won that Jun 29 jump out ahead of Mrs Chrissie and this 4yo gelding is $21+? - seems well over the odds and can entertain a small bet. |
Caulfield, Race 6 | |
#14 MRS CHRISSIE (11) - P Rocke | Low/Medium. She resumes off of only 1x JO, so she'll have plenty of improvement to come from this first up run. She may need the run, but she's also very talented. |
Last Updated: 8:59am on Saturday, 9th July 2022.
Results (Aug '20 to Today):
'Highlighted' Runners:
669x runners | 201x winners (30%) & 211x placings (62%)
Ave Betfair SP | $8.28 WIN $2.31 PLC
'Other' Runners:
880x runners | 196x winners (22%) & 239x placings (49%)
Ave Betfair SP | $13.02 WIN $3.13 PLC
Recommend having a read of the below from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):
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NOTES
Confidence levels will be as follows:
Low = not keen to bet.
Low/Medium = can win but not confident - small bet (if any at all).
Medium = one of the main winning chances - can bet.
High = very good winning chance - keen to have a bet.
Special = very keen, should be winning.
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