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BlackBook - Saturday, 8 April 2023

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Saturday, 8 April 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - those that we are betting / playing are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and race thoughts, while those we aren't betting / playing are included in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" and are worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.


WARRACKNABEAL - Race 2

OTHER

#1 ENVEEO was with Martin Lawson before a stint with P Payne and now back with Marita for his third prep, bolting in Heat 2 on Mar 3 where he went straight to the front and gave nothing else a chance over the 800m, clocking the fastest time of the morning in the process. Big win, fair jump out return.

 
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - TIPS SUMMARY

Runners

Confidence - Comments

Warracknabeal, Race 2

#1 ENVEEO (8) - M Lawson

Low/Medium.

He's only had the 1x JO this prep but it was a super one where he won by a huge margin in quick time so on the back of that, we have to bet - if he runs like that here, he'll go very close to winning!


Think the $8+ is a nice price to find out too, happy to bet.

BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST

Sandown, Race 3

#7 LADY OF SAVOY (7) - M Laurie

BlackBook jump out comments:

A $320k purchase, LADY OF SAVOY backed up her Mar 15 jump out win with another nice win in Heat 4 on Mar 29. This 2yo filly sat outside the leader, doing it very easy throughout before then kicking away in the straight for quite a dominant win in the end. The time was slow for the morning, but visually impressive and we also had her following a pair of jump outs at the end of last year, so she’s a filly worth keeping an eye on for her debut.

Last Updated: 8:56am AEDT on Saturday, 8th April 2023.

 
STAKING

We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.


Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".


This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.

If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.

If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.

If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.


We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):

BetSmart
.pdf
Download PDF • 920KB

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