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BlackBook - Saturday, 4 December 2021

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Saturday, 4 December 2021. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.


STAWELL - Race 5

OTHER

Slick jump out by #1 GOTTALUVJIMMY in Heat 5 on Dec 1, albeit with that race fitness on his side. He won comfortably in the end, clocking the third fastest 850m time of the morning in the process.


PAKENHAM - Race 4

OTHER

#4 CECIL STREET LAD finished 2nd in Heat 4 on Nov 22 and looks to be back in really good order. This was a really slick bit of work in his return and he has some nice form on the board too. Hopefully he goes to a BM64 first up.


#10 IRISH MIST was too good for them in Heat 12 on Nov 12, winning very comfortably in slick time despite never being asked for an effort.


MORPHETVILLE - Race 7

OTHER

#9 HEYINGTON STATION bolted in Heat 4 on Nov 16 and is ready to go back to the races, this time for the new Matthew Williams stable, and he looks to be flying. He’ll pop up in a country BM70 and is one to keep an eye on.

 
OUR THOUGHTS

Of our #BlackBook runners, HEYINGTON STATION or GOTTALUVJIMMY looked our best chance but we didn't think there were any stand outs and was happy to sit out and have no bets.


OUR BETS

As a rule of thumb, our new 'units' system will be based on the following staking plan:

  • 0.25 units is a speculation ('spec') bet at a bigger price.

  • 0.50 units to 1.00 units is a low confidence bet.

  • 1.00 units to 2.00 units is a medium confidence bet.

  • 2.50 units to 3.00 units is a high confidence bet.

  • 5.00 units is the maximum bet and is a 'special', or a very high confidence bet.

No bets. Total outlay is 0.00 units.


Overall: +14.41 units (since 21 Oct, 2021).


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