Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Saturday, 22 April 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - those that we are betting / playing are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and race thoughts, while those we aren't betting / playing are included in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" and are worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST
Mornington, Race 1
#2 ROVNO AMBER (3) - S Nichols
BlackBook jump out comments:
ROVNO AMBER was a class above as the Russian Revolution colt cruised to victory in Heat 12 on Apr 12, clocking the fastest 750m time for the morning in the process. We mentioned him as one to keep an eye on after finishing 2nd in an Apr 5 official trial and he certainly furthered his credentials here with a dominate win. A $250k purchase for Shane Nichols, expecting him to be running well on debut on the back of his work here.
Last Updated: 8:10am AEDT on Saturday, 22nd April 2023.
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):