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BlackBook - Saturday, 11 March 2023

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Saturday, 11 March 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - these are are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and thoughts. We have also included some runners in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" that are those worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.

 
TELEGRAM CHAT

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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST

Flemington, Race 4

#6 FREAKOFNATURE (12) - J Warren

BlackBook jump out comments:

He’s got race fitness having won on debut, but the 2yo colt FREAKOFNATURE was super in Heat 3 on Mar 1 as he travelled wide throughout before getting to the front at the top of the straight and going whooshka, winning in the fastest 1100m time of the morning. This was super.

Flemington, Race 9

#11 IS IT ME (1) - D Bowman

BlackBook jump out comments:

IS IT ME was perfect from 2x starts in his debut prep where we certainly benefited and still convinced he’s got more wins in him, especially on the back of his work in Heat 10 on Feb 27 where he went to the line with a race fit Tuvalu. He’ll be back even better this prep and if he goes through the grades, we can jump on his back and follow him!

Last Updated: 7:48am AEDT on Saturday, 11th March 2023.

 
STAKING

We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.


Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".


This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.

If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.

If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.

If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.


We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):

BetSmart
.pdf
Download PDF • 920KB

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