Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Saturday, 10 September 2022. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - these are are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Summary" with our confidence and thoughts. We have also included some runners in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" that are those worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race.
We've started up a Telegram Channel (for Updates) and Group (for Chat) so that we can send notifications and early updates etc. plus also just have some general racing banter and chat in the group. You don't have to join, but we would recommend it...!!
Follow the steps below:
1. Download Telegram on your device using the following link: https://telegram.org
2. Join the "BlackBook Updates" channel using the following link: https://t.me/+4gAUzhHXzrU4OTQ1
3. Join the "BlackBook Chat" group using the following link: https://t.me/+jdE9tx0l-NljM2I9
BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST
Kembla Grange, Race 5
#3 SMART LITTLE MISS (10) - R Quinton
Her trial on Aug 18 was super - the 4yo mare dropped to a clear last despite leaving the gates with the field - she worked her way through the field superbly from a very long way last to just finish 2nd, with her work past the line even better as she kept going on with it. Her latest trial on Sep 1 was also slick.
She goes from barrier 17 into 10 after scratchings and looks in super order ahead of her return. Backing her here and very happy to take $5+.
Last Updated: 8:25am on Saturday, 10th September 2022.
Results (Aug '20 to Today):
682x runners | 206x winners (30%) & 215x placings (62%)
Ave Betfair SP | $8.25 WIN $2.30 PLC
977x runners | 226x winners (23%) & 268x placings (51%)
Ave Betfair SP | $12.48 WIN $3.06 PLC
How you stake and bet our runners is completely up to you. Everyone takes a different approach to their staking - we know some like to back each runner to profit the same (e.g. profit 10 units for each runner), some back each runner according to our confidence (e.g. 1 unit for low/medium, 2 units for medium, 3 units for high etc.) and many others.
Personally, we follow a system where we bet on the win only (no place) to collect 4% of our bank on every runner. For example, if your starting bank is $10,000, then you will be betting to collect $400 (4%).
If a runner is $2, you will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, you will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, you will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):