BlackBook - Monday, 6 June 2022

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Monday, 6 June 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.

CLICK HERE TO SEE OUR BLACKBOOK SUMMARY

BALLARAT - Race 1

OTHER

The blinkers went on for #3 ON THE RECORD from her May 4 jump out and they looked to work a treat as she won Heat 11 on May 20 in the fastest time of the morning ahead of previous winner Beldivian. She was beaten 15.2L on debut despite starting $3.60 before pulling up with a throat condition second up and being immediately spelled. The 3yo daughter of Pierro showed a bit here and could be one to watch first up this prep.

BALLARAT - Race 2

OTHER

The interesting runner from Heat 3 on May 20 is #5 CARMEN LUCIA. She debuted at Morphetville when running 2nd to now-Group 1 colt Generation before a spell. She then returned to run last at Geelong in a very disappointing run, again being immediately spelled. She had a bit of a nothing jump out last week on May 13 when 5th of 5, but was much better in this heat as she went to the line alongside Jezoulenko, although not doing it as comfortable. If she gets back to that debut form, she’s a big watch but it’s a big if.

BALLARAT - Race 3

OTHER

#1 SLIPSLOPSLAP clocked the fastest time of the morning when taking out Heat 8 on May 17 comfortably. This was the 4yo gelding first jump out back following a spell after a 4-start prep, being the first of his career. He was 2nd on debut on the synthetic Ballarat track before then failing to place thereafter, so he clearly likes the synthetic and will be one to monitor if he does go to the synthetic first up.

Another win for #1 SLIPSLOPSLAP and it was again in the fastest time of the morning, winning Heat 3 on May 24 following his May 17 win. He went well on the grass here following that synthetic jump out, so he looks to be one that could be competitive first up on either surface. Expecting a decent price and he can be a nice spec bet first up.

BLACKBOOK SUMMARY

Runners	Confidence - Comments
Ballarat, Race 1
#3 ON THE RECORD (6) - A & S Freedman	Low/Medium - not too keen to get involved - if she continues to get out, can entertain a small bet but not outlaying much at all personally.
Ballarat, Race 2
#5 CARMEN LUCIA (7) - B & JD Hayes	Low/Medium - not too keen to get involved at the sub-$3.
Ballarat, Race 3
#1 SLIPSLOPSLAP (1) - M Cunningham	Medium - he's the main winning chance here, but the issue is the price - thought we'd be getting a bit better than ~$2.70 so one to wait until closer to the jump to see if we can get a bit better then.

Last Updated: 8:45am on Monday, 6th June 2022.

Results (Aug '20 to Today):

'Highlighted' Runners:

664x runners | 199x winners (30%) & 209x placings (61%)

Ave Betfair SP | $8.32 WIN $2.31 PLC

'Other' Runners:

823x runners | 185x winners (22%) & 225x placings (50%)

Ave Betfair SP | $13.10 WIN $3.13 PLC

Recommend having a read of the below from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):

BetSmart

.pdf

Download PDF • 920KB

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NOTES

Confidence levels will be as follows:

Low = not keen to bet.
Low/Medium = can win but not confident - small bet (if any at all).
Medium = one of the main winning chances - can bet.
High = very good winning chance - keen to have a bet.
Special = very keen, should be winning.

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