BlackBook - Monday, 5 September 2022

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Friday, 2 September 2022. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - these are are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Summary" with our confidence and thoughts. We have also included some runners in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" that are those worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race.


BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST

Queanbeyan, Race 5

#1 KING GUTHO (4) - J Cleary

His trial on Aug 25 at Wagga was absolutely super - he sat the rear of the field before checking off heels at the top of the straight before cruising home to only just finish 2nd to Shelby Sixtysix... and he looked a lot better. He won a CL1 first up last preparation before failing at Canberra but has had a tie-back operation since that last start.

He could not have trialled any better and was very happy to be backing him - issue is he's gotten very short now at sub-$2, so we can wait and play late, or play SP/Top Tote.

Last Updated: 8:13am on Monday, 5th September 2022.

 

Results (Aug '20 to Today):

'Highlighted' Runners:

680x runners | 204x winners (30%) & 215x placings (62%)

Ave Betfair SP | $8.26 WIN $2.31 PLC


'Other' Runners:

973x runners | 224x winners (23%) & 268x placings (51%)

Ave Betfair SP | $12.51 WIN $3.07 PLC

 
STAKING

How you stake and bet our runners is completely up to you. Everyone takes a different approach to their staking - we know some like to back each runner to profit the same (e.g. profit 10 units for each runner), some back each runner according to our confidence (e.g. 1 unit for low/medium, 2 units for medium, 3 units for high etc.) and many others.


Personally, we follow a system where we bet on the win only (no place) to collect 4% of our bank on every runner. For example, if your starting bank is $10,000, then you will be betting to collect $400 (4%).

If a runner is $2, you will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.

If a runner is $20, you will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.

If a runner is $3.50, you will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.


We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):

BetSmart
.pdf
Download PDF • 920KB

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