BlackBook - Monday, 27 February 2023
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Monday, 27 February 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - these are are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and thoughts. We have also included some runners in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" that are those worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST
Benalla, Race 2
#11 PSYCHO STAR (2) - J Salanitri
BlackBook jump out comments:
Quite a nice bit of work from PSYCHO STAR in Heat 4 on Feb 16, travelling strongly out wide as she finished 3rd, but was only 0.5L off the winner in Cadboll who clocked a nice 49.70s for the 850m. Her first jump out on Feb 6 at Kyneton was even better, cruising into 2nd place with absolute ease in a super bit of work too. The 4yo mare is a 7-start maiden that has always been there abouts without winning, but she can go one better this prep on the back of her work here at the jump outs.
Signal the one to beat - we were on him on debut and think now third up, hard fit and back to 1100m suits but barrier 11 of 11 is horrible - regardless, expect him to go straight to the front, burn across and give them something to chase but can't bet him at ~$2.
Psycho Star is the obvious danger, A.Kelly rides well for J.Salanitri with 7 wins from 37 runners (18.9%) at 37.8% P.O.T. but barrier 1 could go either way as Signal looks the leader... hard to bet here at ~$3 too so happy to let this race go through to the keeper.
Last Updated: 8:33am AEDT on Monday, 27th February 2023.
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):