Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Monday, 13 September 2021. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.
MOE - Race 1
The winner of Heat 5 on Aug 25 (purple), #8 MISS MIDDLE PARK, was a $220k purchase that looks to go alright. Well held in a Aug 11 jump out as well, she might have something under the hood the she just hasn’t fully shown yet. Being very mindful of her when she debuts.
MOE - Race 2
#14 TALENT QUEST bolted in over the 1000m in Heat 15 on Sep 6, relishing the wet conditions and doing ex-stablemate Jungle Edge proud. He was very well backed first up, jumping as a $3.90 favourite but could only manage a 3.4L 5th. Back to the jump outs and the blinkers going on, they’ve switched him on and he looks like he can go very close in a maiden second up. Super.
#20 SUSSEX ROYAL jumped out well heading into her debut campaign but was poor. Tipped out, she returned with a quiet jump out (when 10th of 10) before taking out Heat 19 on Aug 20 by 3L. Maybe goes better on the wet tracks?
OUR THOUGHTS / BETS
Moe, Race 1 - MISS MIDDLE PARK
She was well backed at Mornington on Thursday against stablemate Frontman, but was scratched with Frontman then bolting in so they would've scratched knowing she wasn't up to his class. D Lane was booked to ride that day, with D Thornton booked to ride here with barrier 14 of 14 (comes into barrier 8 of 8 after scratchings).
This race becomes very thin following the scratchings of IDENTICAL and DE LA FAYETTE. It now looks a race between MISS MIDDLE PARK and SENEGALIA, expect one of these two to win. Monitor the price, as we don't want to be taking odds on (~$2) but happy to be with MISS MIDDLE PARK at the $2.50+ mark.
Moe, Race 2 - TALENT QUEST & SUSSEX ROYAL
TALENT QUEST had blinkers in the jump out but doesn't have any blinkers listed here - barrier 1 is a perfect draw but the no gear change has us very cautious. He does bring in the best last start benchmark rating and did start $4 here first up so the current price may be a touch overs... we would've been very happy to back had the blinkers been on...
SUSSEX ROYAL will need to improve a stack to win this, especially with barrier 13 of 13.
Happy to have a small bet on TALENT QUEST at the ~$10 mark and a much smaller bet on SUSSEX ROYAL (but waiting for closer to the jump as we expect her to drift, hopefully to $51+). Not much confidence.
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