Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Friday, 9 June 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - those that we are betting / playing are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and race thoughts, while those we aren't betting / playing are included in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" and are worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
SWAN HILL - Race 2
OTHER
She’s an 8-start maiden but MRS BULL certainly didn’t look like it in Heat 10 on May 25. The 3yo filly sat behind the pace before edging out around the bend and closing superbly over the top to win from only a subtle shake of the reign. She looked super here and like that it was over 1000m as well so pretty keen to be with her first up on the back of this if she can find a suitable country maiden.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - TIPS SUMMARY
Runners | Confidence - Comments |
Swan Hill, Race 2 | |
#6 MRS BULL (1) - A Coffey | Low/Medium. We loved her recent JO and once we saw the Swan Hill carnival upcoming, it was all but certain that she'd race here first up with Harry Coffey on board for his dad. Barrier 1 isn't great, but it is a massive straight at Swan Hill so she should get her chance and if she does, she should be running well in what looks to be a winnable race on paper. The wet track is a query but we want to be betting based on her JO's, she can run super here first up. |
BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST
Swan Hill, Race 1 #10 RUNPUKYA (2) - H Chalmers | BlackBook jump out comments: We want to follow RUNPUKYA mainly for his debut run. We mentioned him in the watchlist prior to his debut follow some nice jump outs where he was a $31 SP and finished 6th of 12, but he was held up from at least the 400m to the 50m and yet still only went down by 4.6L. Looking into his sectionals, he ran the meetings 3rd fastest 400m-200m despite being held up, so if he had of got some clear air at any stage, he could’ve finished a lot closer. His work in Heat 2 on May 16 saw him cruise to the line as his first jump out this prep and think he’s certainly one to keep a close eye on. |
Last Updated: 7:50am AEDT on Friday, 9th June 2023.
STAKING
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):
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