BlackBook - Friday, 28 July 2023
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Friday, 28 July 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - those that we are betting are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and race thoughts, while those we aren't betting are included in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" and are worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
ECHUCA - Race 1
Keeping an eye on where STRUCK GOLD pops up for his first career run in Aus having had the 1x run in NZ for a 3rd only a few weeks ago in June. He’s had the two jump outs here now, the latest a win in Heat 11 on Jul 19 where he was pushed out late and showed that turn of foot he had in NZ, getting over the top late to win comfortably in nice time. Like the way he moves and expect him to run well first up here.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - TIPS SUMMARY
Runners | Confidence - Comments |
Echuca, Race 1 | ​ |
#5 STRUCK GOLD (7) - A & S Freedman | Medium. His NZ debut was a lovely run and it's not hard to see why he was purchased to come over here to Aus. He's had the two jump outs/trials, the first a quiet bit of work but the latest he was pushed out and asked for an effort, of which he provided impressively. This is a very winnable race and he just needs to sit midfield with room late over the 1300m to be very hard to beat. Expecting a nice debut here and want to be with him. |
Last Updated: 7:47am AEDT on Friday, 28th July 2023.
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STAKING
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):
BetSmart
.pdf
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