BlackBook - Friday, 24 September 2021

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Friday, 24 September 2021. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.


MOONEE VALLEY - Race 1

#2 PORT LOUIS (10) - C Maher & D Eustace

Hoping we somehow get PORT LOUIS in a maiden first up. The 3yo colt has had the 5 starts which includes a Group 2 placing over 1400m and makes his way down to VIC for our spring carnival despite holding a nomination for the Golden Rose. He had a nice and easy jump out on Aug 31 prior to winning here in Heat 5 on Sep 15 in nice order in amongst better than maiden grade gallopers (which he is as well) but did run slow time for the day. He was a class above and really hoping we get that maiden first up…


MOONEE VALLEY - Race 7

OTHER

Super win by #6 SWATS THAT in Heat 4 on Sep 10, defeating Probabeel by a nice margin in the fastest time of the morning. She’ll resume in the Moir Stakes in a week and a bit, at $11 currently on most agencies. She can run well there.

 
OUR THOUGHTS / BETS

Moonee Valley, Race 1 - PORT LOUIS

Doesn't resume in the maiden we wanted and finds a race with a few runners that bring some better ratings into this - also has barrier 10 of 10 and expect him to potentially get over a bit further. Can win, but will have to without us on - we'll let him go around with no bets on.


Moonee Valley, Race 7 - SWATS THAT

Have loved her jump outs and think she can go alright here first up - brings in the third best last start benchmark rating. Think from barrier 9 she can take a sit in behind some speed and attempt to come over the top late.

They want to go to the Everest, so clearly have an opinion of her - she usually goes well fresh and suspect they have her up and going first up to get that Everest slot. At $18/$5, thought she was worth a spec with a small E/W bet.


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