BlackBook - Friday, 24 June 2022
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Friday, 24 June 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.
CLICK HERE TO SEE OUR BLACKBOOK SUMMARY
BALLARAT - Race 1
#2 FINANCE HARLEM makes his way down from NSW with Chris Waller to now be with Tom Dabernig and most importantly, he’s been gelded. He took out Heat 5 on May 23 in the fastest 1000m time of the morning, sitting outside the leader throughout before being put under some pressure from the jockey in the straight and responding in an encouraging performance. He’s certainly got nice enough NSW form as a colt - he was 1.3L off Overpass on debut, 3.29L off Profondo and more recently 3rd to Hoover Lucy and Castlereagh Kid. An $80K purchase at the 2021 Inglis November Online Sales, he’s got more than enough credentials for a VIC country maiden first up as a gelding.
*since ran 3rd in a Jun 9 jump out to Anirishman and Timson*
The resuming #9 WATER BOMBER was the pick of those in Heat 6 on May 30, finishing 2nd to the un-raced Mishima after following him throughout the run and cruising to the line relatively untouched. He’s had the 3x career runs for a 3rd and 2x 4th’s with some nice enough form surrounding Brereton (from debut) as well as Merchant Prince and Sir Bailey in his next two runs, which is nice enough 2yo form. One to keep an eye out for another jump out prior to resuming.
*since ran 2nd to Roaring Miss (who ran 2nd first up at Moe on Thursday) in a Jun 14 jump out
BALLARAT - Race 2
#7 RED HAWK who won by 6L on debut but then failed up the straight at Flemington in his second career start when a $2.10 SP favourite. He’s now had the ultimate gear change of becoming a gelding and looks to be in good order (again) ahead of his resumption, winning a May 24 jump out prior to his win in Heat 7 on Jun 2 where he really hit the line with pace. Huge watch first up as a gelding if he can re-capture his 6L debut form…
Confidence - Comments
Ballarat, Race 1
It's a 2-horse race between our two runners.
#2 FINANCE HARLEM (9) - T Dabernig
He's our on top selection - he's been gelded and has the form on the board - the $2.70 looks nice.
#9 WATER BOMBER (6) - M Price & M Kent Jnr
He's 2YO against the older horses - the latest jump out behind Roaring Miss (who then ran 2nd at Moe) was only fair - couldn't take ~$1.65 about him - will wait and use him as a saver bet to Finance Harlem.
Ballarat, Race 2
#3 KING TOMMY (5) - M Ellerton
High. - SCRATCHED AT THE GATES.
Should be winning this - beat Allegorical and Tequila Spirit very comfortably in that Jun 10 JO. Happy to bet, was happy to take the $3+.
Ballarat, Race 8
#7 RED HAWK (6) - T & C McEvoy
He's been gelded and if he runs to his debut run, he should just win this. JO's suggest he is and the McEvoy's always go well at Ballarat Synthetic (won 6 of their past 12) - he should be hard to beat here. Hopefully we can get ~$3+ late.
Last Updated: 8:23am on Friday, 24th June 2022.
Results (Aug '20 to Today):
666x runners | 199x winners (30%) & 211x placings (62%)
Ave Betfair SP | $8.30 WIN $2.31 PLC
858x runners | 192x winners (22%) & 233x placings (50%)
Ave Betfair SP | $13.07 WIN $3.14 PLC
Recommend having a read of the below from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):
When you sign up, select 'JumpOuts' for how you Heard About them and "JUMPOUTS" in the Promo Code.
Confidence levels will be as follows:
Low = not keen to bet.
Low/Medium = can win but not confident - small bet (if any at all).
Medium = one of the main winning chances - can bet.
High = very good winning chance - keen to have a bet.
Special = very keen, should be winning.
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