Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Friday, 12 August 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.
GEELONG - Race 3
The ex-Hong Kong runner in NABOO STAR was the pick of Heat 8 on Jul 29, closing well out wide to finish 2nd to the 1-start maiden #7 EXTREME STEP, who also put in a lovely front running performance. Finishing alongside them was Not An Option and Palani, both of whom have won races and this 3yo filly was still going on with it past the line. Liked her return jump out on Jul 15 where she just cruised to the line behind subsequent maiden winner Fast Star, and liked her debut run when 2nd to Jack Of It, who has since won a BM58 and BM64. She’s better than maiden grade.
BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - SUMMARY
Confidence - Comments
Geelong, Race 3
#7 EXTREME STEP (12) - B & JD Hayes
She ran super on debut considering the run she had, finishing 2nd to Jack Of It. Given more time, jump outs have been super this time in and she is the horse to beat. Worry is the barrier, if she had of drawn in she'd be a really good bet but still happy to play her. Think she's at her right price too, ~$4 currently.
Last Updated: 8:08am on Friday, 12th August 2022.
Results (Aug '20 to Today):
673x runners | 203x winners (30%) & 212x placings (62%)
Ave Betfair SP | $8.27 WIN $2.30 PLC
938x runners | 211x winners (22%) & 259x placings (50%)
Ave Betfair SP | $12.72 WIN $3.10 PLC
How you stake and bet our runners is completely up to you. Everyone takes a different approach to their staking - we know some like to back each runner to profit the same (e.g. profit 10 units for each runner), some back each runner according to our confidence (e.g. 1 unit for low/medium, 2 units for medium, 3 units for high etc.) and many others.
Personally, we follow a system where we bet on the win only (no place) to collect 4% of our bank on every runner. For example, if your starting bank is $10,000, then you will be betting to collect $400 (4%).
If a runner is $2, you will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, you will bet $10 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, you will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):