BlackBook - Friday, 10 June 2022

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Friday, 10 June 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.


SWAN HILL - Race 3


Have no doubt that #12 SPIRIT DE LUNE has the talent to win a maiden, it’s just going to be a matter of being on him when he does, which is becoming harder than it sounds. Not with Heath Chalmers having been bought for $18k from the January Inglis Online Sales, the 4yo gelding took out a May 18 trial before finishing 3rd in Heat 5 on Jun 2 when very quietly ridden. He’s hard to trust, but worth keeping an eye on for the new stable.

SWAN HILL - Race 7


#10 RAINBIEL took out Heat 1 on May 27 over the 1000m in the fastest time of the morning. She’s a talented mare that flies fresh with a 1UP record of 5: 2-1-1 and a 2UP record of 4: 1-1-2, so we can expect her to be around the mark fresh again this prep as she approaches her 5YO season.



Confidence - Comments

Swan Hill, Race 3

#12 SPIRIT DE LUNE (12) - H Chalmers


Terrible barrier and 1200m seems a touch short considering he was 3rd at $2.50 over 2100m at the end of last prep - not sure at the ~$6 available. He looks an E/W chance and one to follow 2UP - thought Prudden is the one to beat in this race.

Swan Hill, Race 7

#10 RAINBIEL (5) - A Chibnall


She doesn't mind it wet and is 1 from 1 at the track and distance but this is a handy race - nice light weight though and looks an E/W chance.

Last Updated: 8:10m on Friday, 10th June 2022.


Results (Aug '20 to Today):

'Highlighted' Runners:

664x runners | 199x winners (30%) & 209x placings (61%)

Ave Betfair SP | $8.32 WIN $2.31 PLC

'Other' Runners:

828x runners | 186x winners (22%) & 226x placings (50%)

Ave Betfair SP | $13.06 WIN $3.12 PLC

Recommend having a read of the below from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):

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Confidence levels will be as follows:

  • Low = not keen to bet.

  • Low/Medium = can win but not confident - small bet (if any at all).

  • Medium = one of the main winning chances - can bet.

  • High = very good winning chance - keen to have a bet.

  • Special = very keen, should be winning.

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