The Jump Outs
Feb 7, 2023
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Wednesday, 8 February 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - these are are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and thoughts. We have also included some runners in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" that are those worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
MOE - Race 3
OTHER
#9 HUMMING was a $1.95M purchase and she’s showing a bit of talent at the jump outs, finishing 2nd to Ruthless Dame while ahead of The Fortune Teller and Greece in Heat 6 on Jan 19 after travelling very wide throughout. Lovely first jump out this prep.
The $1.95M filly in #9 HUMMING showed her lovely turn of foot again in Heat 16 on Jan 31. She was away well, but was taken back in the early stages from out wide to be a clear last as they approached the bend where she picked up, got to the outside and then was asked to extend a little late by Damian Lane and that she did, finishing really well and doing her best work past the line. Her closing speed was similar to her Jan 16 where she went to the line behind Ruthless Dame while alongside The Fortune Teller, so there doesn’t look to be any doubt on her talent and her breeding suggests that, a half-sister to Acrobat and Ennis Hill, the mum of impressive 2yo winner Learning To Fly on the weekend. Doubt they’ll be wasting many runs of a filly with that sort of page and on the back of her work, she’ll be going really well on debut in any maiden she goes.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - TIPS SUMMARY
BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST
Last Updated: 8:01am AEDT on Wednesday, 8th February 2023.
STAKING
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):