The Jump Outs
Jul 27, 2022
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Thursday, 28 July 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.
CLICK HERE TO SEE OUR BLACKBOOK SUMMARY
PAKENHAM - Race 1
OTHER
#3 DIAMATTI had 3x jump outs in Jan/Feb earlier this year, beating home 1x runner in all of those jump outs in a poor display. He was tipped out and given more time where he was gelded in the process and that looks to have switched him on, winning the 2x jump outs this time in. The 3yo son of Shooting To Win took out a Jun 28 jump out prior to his win in Heat 5 on Jul 12 where he won over 750m in the fastest time of the morning. He led throughout here, pushed out and shown the whip over the final 300m to extend away and win. We’ll be treading carefully, but these wins this time in as a gelding were nice enough.
BLACKBOOK SUMMARY
Last Updated: 8:19am on Thursday, 28th July 2022.
Results (Aug '20 to Today):
'Highlighted' Runners:
670x runners | 202x winners (30%) & 211x placings (62%)
Ave Betfair SP | $8.27 WIN $2.30 PLC
'Other' Runners:
913x runners | 203x winners (22%) & 253x placings (50%)
Ave Betfair SP | $12.89 WIN $3.12 PLC
STAKING
How you stake and bet our runners is completely up to you. Everyone takes a different approach to their staking - we know some like to back each runner to profit the same (e.g. profit 10 units for each runner), some back each runner according to our confidence (e.g. 1 unit for low/medium, 2 units for medium, 3 units for high etc.) and many others.
Personally, we follow a system where we bet on the win only (no place) to collect 4% of our bank on every runner. For example, if your starting bank is $10,000, then you will be betting to collect $400 (4%).
If a runner is $2, you will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, you will bet $10 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, you will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):