The Jump Outs
Apr 26, 2023
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Thursday, 27 April 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - those that we are betting / playing are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and race thoughts, while those we aren't betting / playing are included in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" and are worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
SEYMOUR - Race 2
OTHER
#5 NEED A MIRACLE got a lovely run up the rail on debut but also was unlucky, held up several times and never really was fully tested but still managed 3rd behind Miss Galore. He clocked the meetings fastest L400m, second fastest L600m and third fastest L200m, so ran home super from last despite being held up. Given a 6-week let up, he returned in Heat 14 on Apr 21 where he was given a very easy time out the back but wide, coming to the outside of the track and cruising to the line but going very nicely. Think he can run a race second up but his racing pattern suggests he’ll need some luck (or a miracle lol).
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - TIPS SUMMARY
BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST
Last Updated: 7:55am AEDT on Thursday, 27th April 2023.
STAKING
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):