The Jump Outs
Feb 1, 2023
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Thursday, 2 February 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - these are are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and thoughts. We have also included some runners in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" that are those worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
PAKENHAM - Race 4
OTHER
Although race fit, #9 INVINCIBILUS was a very very good winner of Heat 13 on Jan 20, going straight to the front and just cruising to the line under a ridiculous hold to win with ease. The 4yo mare is 63-rated now having finished 5th of 7 and 6th of 10 in two BM70 runs this prep, so look for her third up now in a BM64 where she can run super as this jump out was very good.
PAKENHAM - Race 5
OTHER
#5 TRIGGERIFIC cruised to the line in a Jan 4 jump out over 900m when 2nd and did similar in Heat 4 on Jan 18 over 1100m where he just dropped to the back of the field before coming wide around the bend and coming home really strongly along the outside fence, handling the Heavy track well. The 3yo son of Tosen Stardom was $201 on debut at Sandown over 1300m, finishing 3.45L off The Deputy back in 5th where it was an encouraging debut. He was tipped out following this and looks to be in good order ahead of his resumption for his second career prep.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - TIPS SUMMARY
BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST
Last Updated: 8:27am AEDT on Thursday, 2nd February 2023.
STAKING
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):