The Jump Outs
Oct 7, 2022
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Friday, 7 October 2022. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - these are are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Summary" with our confidence and thoughts. We have also included some runners in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" that are those worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race.
CRANBOURNE - Race 4
OTHER
#12 TROPICCONI was the clear take away from Heat 8 on Sep 21. She was away last, settling in the second half of the field but was then shuffled back to last as they rounded the bend - she went wide but had to dart back to the inside to get a run and closed super to finish a very close 2nd after making up a lot in the straight. She was quietly ridden in a Sep 5 official trial, but won a jump out back on May 11 ahead of Thron Bone at Caulfield in the second fastest time of the morning. The $140k daughter of Nicconi looks talented and we’re keen to follow into a debut.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - SUMMARY
BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST
Last Updated: 1:46pm on Friday, 7th October 2022.
Results (Aug '20 to Today):
'Highlighted' Runners:
689x runners | 210x winners (30%) & 218x placings (62%)
Ave Betfair SP | $8.21 WIN $2.30 PLC
'Other' Runners:
1016x runners | 238x winners (23%) & 278x placings (51%)
Ave Betfair SP | $12.35 WIN $3.05 PLC
STAKING
How you stake and bet our runners is completely up to you. Everyone takes a different approach to their staking - we know some like to back each runner to profit the same (e.g. profit 10 units for each runner), some back each runner according to our confidence (e.g. 1 unit for low/medium, 2 units for medium, 3 units for high etc.) and many others.
Personally, we follow a system where we bet on the win only (no place) to collect 4% of our bank on every runner. For example, if your starting bank is $10,000, then you will be betting to collect $400 (4%).
If a runner is $2, you will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, you will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, you will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):