The Jump Outs
Feb 2, 2023
Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Friday, 3 February 2023. All #BlackBook runners come from our weekly reviews and our split into two categories - these are are summarised in our "BlackBook Runners - Tips Summary" with our confidence and thoughts. We have also included some runners in our "BlackBook Runners - Watchlist" that are those worth keeping in mind if you're playing the race. For information on our staking, see here.
MOONEE VALLEY - Race 1
OTHER
#3 EL SOLEADO was good in amongst some good company, finishing 4th in Heat 1 on Jan 30 behind the likes of Smokin’ Romans and Nugget over the 1000m. This was the returning 3yo gelding’s second jump out following another 4th placing on Jan 16, which was also in amongst good company, both jump outs without the blinkers he wore on debut so keep a close eye on that gear change first up as well. He was disappointing on debut but that was up the straight at Flemington behind Doull and he did start a $9.50 SP third fav, so there was some stable and market expectation there and if he heads to a maiden first up now as a 3yo, he can go well.
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BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - TIPS SUMMARY
BLACKBOOK RUNNERS - WATCHLIST
Last Updated: 8:06am AEDT on Friday, 3rd February 2023.
STAKING
We know that everyone takes a different approach to their staking, which is why we don't delve into specific staking for each of our runners and we leave how you stake and bet our runners completely up to the individual.
Personally, we have followed different staking systems over the years to fine tune our own punting, but have found that the most profitable approach is to follow a "Collect system".
This system means that the punter (us) bets on the win only (no place bet) to collect 4% of our bank on every BlackBook runner we have. To begin, you need to select a starting bank - as an example, a starting bank of $10,000 will see us betting to collect $400 (4%) on each runner.
If a runner is $2, we will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.
If a runner is $20, we will bet $20 @20 to collect $400.
If a runner is $3.50, we will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.
We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):