The Jump Outs

Jul 28, 2022

BlackBook - Friday, 29 July 2022

Please see below for our #BlackBook runner comments for Friday, 29 July 2022. The runner's highlighted are our #BlackBook runners (the key runners of focus), while those included in the 'other' section of each race are additional runner's that have jumped out well enough to be worth noting. Our figures and benchmark ratings are from PuntingForm.

CLICK HERE TO SEE OUR BLACKBOOK SUMMARY

We don't have any official #BlackBook runners but do have some runners on our watch-list (see below).

We won't be backing FAST STAR, he's more an FYI due to his breeding. STREET CONQUEROR looks potentially worthy of a small bet. MR NEWS (Echuca, Race 5) is definitely worth a bet and our main runner for the day, while HYPOTHETICAL (Echuca, Race 9) looks a really good chance to make it two in a row and is the next best.

In summary: backing MR NEWS and HYPOTHETICAL, smaller potential bet on STREET CONQUEROR (unsure) and leaving FAST STAR.


BLACKBOOK SUMMARY

Last Updated: 8:23am on Friday, 29th July 2022.


Results (Aug '20 to Today):

'Highlighted' Runners:

670x runners | 202x winners (30%) & 211x placings (62%)

Ave Betfair SP | $8.27 WIN $2.30 PLC

'Other' Runners:

915x runners | 203x winners (22%) & 253x placings (50%)

Ave Betfair SP | $12.87 WIN $3.12 PLC


STAKING

How you stake and bet our runners is completely up to you. Everyone takes a different approach to their staking - we know some like to back each runner to profit the same (e.g. profit 10 units for each runner), some back each runner according to our confidence (e.g. 1 unit for low/medium, 2 units for medium, 3 units for high etc.) and many others.

Personally, we follow a system where we bet on the win only (no place) to collect 4% of our bank on every runner. For example, if your starting bank is $10,000, then you will be betting to collect $400 (4%).

If a runner is $2, you will bet $200 @2 to collect $400.

If a runner is $20, you will bet $10 @20 to collect $400.

If a runner is $3.50, you will bet ~$114 @3.50 to collect ~$400.

We highly recommend having a read of the below PDF document from Dan O'Sullivan in regard to the Six Rules to Increase Profit, Staking like a Professional and Punting As An Investment (see here):